Bandaid
Getting sticky.
- Joined
- May 12, 2019
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Consider following (fictional) newspaper headline in january 1916: "Prince Ferdinand found alive! War cancelled!"
...do you really think the war would have ended there and there? No? No. Most definitely not. And that means the war really wasn't about him. He was the spark. No more, no less. The weight of the armies alone in 1914 more or less demanded they be used for "something".
As I wrote, I consider it unlikely that the Great War can be prevented. However, not impossible.
Lets see, as for Germany, they will know what a desaster it turned out to be and they will know that they are not nearly ready for it. Also, presumably, someone will whack the Kaiser over his head for his various diplomatic blunders. And the imperial high command, or at least signifcant portions of it, will get whacked much harder. Scrapping the Schliefen Plan and not marching trough Belgium will make it much harder for Britain to enter the war.
Speaking of Britain, they will be very cautious about engaging Germany because of: A: The presumed capabilities of the new German Battleship and even more important B: The fact that Bismarck popped out of nowhere so there might be even more Bismarcks in whatever hole the first Bismarck sailed out from. Until they are sure Bismarck is the only one of its kind the belief in British superiourity at sea will be deeply shaken.
Austria can be told how compromised they are trough Redl. That should dampen war enthusiasm for the forseeable future from that corner once they realize just how fucked they are.
As for the Ottomans, Germany could try to mediate between Italy and the Ottomans, shortening that war. Then try to prob up the Ottomans in an attempt to stabilize the Balkans. If the sick man of Europe looks not quite as sick anymore...
I am not saying it will be easy or cheap and it will depend on a lot of factors. All I am saying it is possible. Unlikely but possible.