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Vote Thread for Ack's Omake Corner

"
It's because you grew up with a naive idea of democracy, vote trading is a ancient tradion from Greece.

Here is a example of ancient trading

"I will vote for this man's Exile In exchange for a chicken."

Modern trading

"I will support you in the elections if you vote for my bill."

Or my favorite, "hey homeless guy, I will give you a warm meal if you vote (blank) for president."
Generally, you'd have to pay rather more than one chicken to get someone to vote for exile, outside of special circumstances (like, he hates the guy, but still wants to get something for it, or it's a really good chicken).
 
Back from vacation. My god, do they feel awesome.

[X] Slippery Slope - 6
[X] Wyvern - 5
[X] Meet the Heberts - 4
[X] Alea Iacta Est - 3
[X] Recoil - 2
[X] Trump Card - 1

The only solution is to practice holding lots of words in your head so you can write entire chapters mentally. Might be a bit hard to simultaneously walk while doing that, though.
I actually find it easier to think of ideas and words to write when I'm walking. Problem is, I forget them by the time I sit on my chair to type on my laptop.
 
[X] Bait & Switch - 1
[X] Alea Iacta Est - 2
[X] One More Trigger - 3
[X] Danny & Taylor - 4
[X] Really Bad End - 5
[X] Wyvern - 6
 
Vote 76: Recoil
Thanks, as always, for voting.

Voting points this round: 1325

Announcement
The new vote counting system is awesome. That is all.

User Errors
Dr. Mercurious - Confrontation II requires the 'II' after the name, thanks.
Chojomeka - ! is not a number :p

Please correct these in future.

On to the main event.

Alea Iacta Est 514
All Alone 326
Bait & Switch 544
Confrontation II 43
Danny & Taylor 554
Hostage Situation 863
I, Panacea 301
Junior Hero 742
Meet the Heberts 102
MirrorVerse 678
NSW 491
Nemesis 492
One More Trigger 999
Really Bad End 881
Recoil 0 (1117)
Security! 560
Slippery Slope 951
Trump Card 554
War Games 676
Wyvern 1099

[If you want to know which of these stories is NSFW, check the first post of the thread..]


That was a little bit of an upset, I think. Both Recoil and Alea Iacta Est beat out Wyvern for top scorer this time around, giving Recoil the win.

Wyvern will be next up, though.

Check out Jim Starluck 's spreadsheet for a reasonable prediction.

Note also that the vote counting script given to me by Throne3d was of huge assistance.

Anyway, thanks again for voting, and I hope you enjoy reading the stories as much as I enjoy writing them.


For anyone who hasn't voted on this thread before, the voting rules go as follows:

1) UP TO six votes. I will not count anything extra, and a write-in will likely be ignored (if I want to write a different story, I will, but at my own discretion). Suggestions are welcome, but I am under no obligation to carry them out. And just remember, the more stories I am writing, the longer it will take for your favourites to roll back around.
2) First vote is worth six points, second is worth five, and so on.
3) You can't vote twice on the same story. The voting code will count the last vote and ignore previous ones.
4) If I say "Voting is CLOSED", then this post comes up, with "Voting is OPEN" at the bottom, then you can vote again.
5) If I say "Voting will continue", it's still the same voting period. Voting has not restarted. You can not vote a second time.

Vote format looks like this:

[X] Alea Iacta Est - 6
[X] I, Panacea - 5
[X] Security! - 4
[X] Recoil - 3
[X] Trump Card - 2
[X] NSW - 1

Specifically: SQUARE brackets around an X, one space, and please spell at least the first word of the name of the story properly. Number of voting points comes last. Please try to format your vote properly, so as not to confuse the vote counter.

Thank you.

Voting is OPEN.
 
[X] Alea Iacta Est - 6
[X] I, Panacea - 5
[X] Trump Card - 4
[X] Danny & Taylor - 3
[X] Meet The Heberts - 2
[X] Hostage Situation - 1
 
[X] Junior Hero - 6
[X] Alea Iacta Est - 5
[X] Meet the Heberts - 4
[X] Trump Card - 3
[X] Confrontation II - 2
[X] One More Trigger - 1
 
[X] Alea Iacta Est - 6
[X] Hostage Situation - 5
[X] I, Panacea - 4
[X] Danny & Taylor - 3
[X] Meet The Heberts - 2
[X] Trump Card - 1
 
[X] Alea Iacta Est - 6
[X] I, Panacea - 5
[X] Security! - 4
[X] NSW - 3
[X] Trump Card - 2
[X] Recoil - 1
 
[X] Recoil - 6
[X] Alea Iacta Est - 5
[X] I, Panacea - 4
[X] Wyvern - 3
[X] All Alone - 2
[X] Security! - 1
 
[X] Really Bad End - 6
[X] War Games - 5
[X] One More Trigger - 4
[X] Wyvern - 3
[X] All Alone - 2
[X] Trump Card - 1
[] Alea Iacta Est - 0
[] Confrontation II - 0
[] Recoil - 0
 
[X] Alea Iacta Est - 6
[X] Recoil - 5
[X] Trump Card - 4
[X] Security! - 3
[X] Junior Hero - 2
[X] Nemesis - 1
 
[X] War Games - 6
[X] Junior Hero - 5
[X] I, Panacea - 4
[X] Recoil - 2
[X] Wyvern - 1

Locked:
Swapped for War Games with Angush
[X] Confrontation II - 3
 
Last edited:
[X] Wyvern - 6
[X] Security! - 5
[X] I, Panacea - 4
[X] Trump Card - 3
[X] Alea Iacta Est - 2
[X] Recoil - 1
 
[X] Security! - 6
[X] I, Panacea - 5
[X] One More Trigger - 4
[X] Trump Card - 3
[X] War Games - 2
[X] Wyvern - 1
 
[X] Meet the Heberts - 6
[X] Danny & Taylor - 5
[X] Really Bad End - 4
[X] Trump Card - 3
[X] Alea Iacta Est - 2
[X] Wyvern - 1
 
[X] Slippery Slope - 6
[X] Nemesis - 5
[X] Trump Card - 4
[X] War Games - 3
[X] Wyvern - 2
[X] Alea Iacta Est - 1
 
[X] One More Trigger - 6
[X] War Games - 5
[X] Wyvern - 4
[X] Security! - 3
[X] Trump Card - 2
[X] I, Panacea - 1
 
[] Marky's Angels - 13
[X] Recoil - 6
[X] I, Panacea - 5
[X] Alea Iacta Est - 4
[X] Trump Card - 3
[X] Security! - 2
[X] Hostage Situation - 1
[] One More Trigger
[] Wyvern
 
[X] Alea Iacta Est - 6
[X] War Games - 5
[X] Nemesis - 4
[X] Hostage Situation - 3
[X] Trump Card - 2
[X] Wyvern - 1

Atropa, want to make the 5-5 trade standard until further notice?
 
Last edited:
That was a little bit of an upset, I think. Both Recoil and Alea Iacta Est beat out Wyvern for top scorer this time around, giving Recoil the win.

Wyvern will be next up, though.
Oh, almost certainly. Even if Wyvern continues to underperform from its previous heights, the margin between it and the next-nearest story is still going to be 150+ votes. No contest in vote 77; Wyvern looks set to be the first story to hit 1,200+ votes.

Votes 78 and 79 aren't much different. The margins have climbed from last prediction: One More Trigger is now projected to win Vote 78 at 1,100+ votes, more than 60 ahead of its competition, while Slippery Slope is set to win Vote 79 in the same range, by a margine of over 110.

Vote 80 is a lot closer, comparatively speaking. Hostage Situation is penciled in as the winner, but by a margin of less than 20 votes. High-roller Alea Iacta Est is right behind it, earning almost three times as many votes per round. If Hostage Situation holds its ground, then AIE will have to settle for Vote 81, at a healthy margin of 60ish votes.

Then Trump Card blows past everyone else to win at a margin of nearly 150 votes, possibly joining Wyvern in the 1,200 Club.

Votes 83 and 84 are shaping up to be highly contentious. On paper they look to go to Security! and War Games, respectively, but on further examination... not so sure. Right now, War Games has 676 votes to Security!'s 560. Over the last 10 rounds, Security has averaged 81 votes per round; War Games usually gets 64. But just this most recent round, both stories came in well ahead of their predictions, Security! by 15 votes and War Games by 26.

If these vote-rates continue for them, War Games is almost certain to beat out the longer-running Security!, which will then take the next win. But if they stick closer to their running averages, Security! may score a narrow win. Right now, it's too far out to say for certain.

Whichever of them wins in 83, the other wins in 84, and then I, Panacea coasts to an easy victory in Vote 85 by a margin of 150+, probably joining the ranks of the 1,200s in doing so. After that it's either Wyvern or Recoil, depending largely on whether everyone's favorite not-a-dragon can recover from its stumbles.

I'm contemplating a change to the predictions formula, where the average of the last 10 votes is then further averaged with only the most recent one; it may help adjust for sudden variations in voting habits; we'll see.


Beyond Vote 86, estimated rounds-to-win are as follows:

Alea Iacta Est: 5
All Alone: 5
Bait & Switch: 25
Confrontation II: 8
Danny & Taylor: 15
Hostage Situation: 20
I, Panacea: 11
Junior Hero: 15
Meet the Heberts: 8
MirrorVerse: 2
NSW: 5
Nemesis: 18
One More Trigger: 12
Really Bad End: 2
Recoil: 1
Security!: 12
Slippery Slope: 15
Trump Card: 8
War Games: 17
Wyvern: 8

Again, that count starts from Vote 86.


Accuracy this round was overall 96.31%. Most accurate in both proportion and total votes was Junior Hero; it came in 1 vote ahead, with an accuracy of 99.87%. As mentioned earlier, we had several stories deviate greatly from predictions. Least accurate of these proportionally was recent winner Confrontation II, coming in at only 65.15% of expected votes. Greatest difference in raw vote count goes to War Games, earning 26 more votes than anticipated.


Not posting rankings for vote-earners this time, since I'm currently re-evaluating the accuracy of that prediction. Will run the potential replacement system side-by-side with the current one for a while, see which gets better results.



My vote:

[X] Meet the Heberts - 6
[X] NSW - 5
[X] War Games - 4
[X] One More Trigger - 3
[X] Security! - 2
[X] Recoil - 1
 

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