Simonbob
Really? You don't say.
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... neither article you linked provides either number. As such, you appear to be essentially pulling it out of your ass.
Gee, what's this infografic, from the first link?
![infographic-vaccine-development-1200x1850.png](/proxy.php?image=https%3A%2F%2Fwellcome.org%2Fsites%2Fdefault%2Ffiles%2Fstyles%2Fstandalone_image_full_width%2Fpublic%2Finfographic-vaccine-development-1200x1850.png%3Fitok%3Dy0Cq0Vr2&hash=6a5da54e004f3e265aedf13c947d6a23)
No, I'm no expert. But, it's insanely obvious they're pushing HARD. That is always risky.