Pax's Alternate History Snippet repository.

[Imperator Pax]

April 1922
The telegram circular was a formal denouncement, a ritual that had to be observed it seemed. Maybe it was a chance to still see things headed off, maybe it was a warning shot... maybe it had just become habit at this point. He would have truthfully, much more preferred to be discussing scoping infantry rifles for scouts, and field reviews.

Even the machine gun field review would have been better than all of this... but he was in command, and the noise in Peking had to be seen to. "What do we know?"

"It started with an argument over money. So far as we can tell from there it turned into a spat over the cabinet appointments , and devolved from there." Waite replied.

"What's the recommendation?" He wasn't asking Waite his attention turned to Shansi's governor.

Yan nodded, "We should call up the reserves, if for nothing else but as an abundance of caution in the event that there is some repeat of the Restoration Crisis." Ponytail's attempt to restore the Manchu, the Qing dynasty to power. There were rumors going around Zhang Xun, and Zhang Tsolin had been making common cause, and both had had their power bases and their commands based in the maritime provinces.

There were a handful of nods from the short committee. Bill was absent, being down in southern Qinghai on an engineering project, and could be spared. Eighth division was absent, watching the border. Lee was absent for the same reason Shang was, also on border duty. "The Aircraft mission has approval as well?"

"Yes they can leave for England," Talk to De haviliand about his proposed improved racing plane, and its wooden frame with its new construction technique with balsa wood and the like, "I know Powell has a thing for that," That the balsa plywood manufacture "That its something readily available to the MAK." Waite declared, "cultivation will be a problem," He meant here in china, "but I admit that aluminum stamping while probably the future in the long run is not there yet. We would need very heavy pressing machines, and I don't expect a sufficiently great prototype inside of five years... and even if the stampings were there, we need more robust engines, and we are certainly not there in terms of a design, never mind in producing such an engine so I would call it ten years, maybe fifteen."

Thus, the argument was that a wooden composite frame like the racing design seemed the best option... and that was mirrored in land transportation. The suspension system for their trucks, and cars originated from a racing car from the Austrian in charge of the laboratory and workshop. Even more similar were the insistence of armament, it was just a rehash of talks before the telegrams had gone out, "The rapid firing cannon, we will have to replace the pom poms." They had done their job, but the experience showed that while they had worked they were now long quite long in the tooth and needed to be succeeded by flatter shooting longer range cannon rounds, which had been said a week earlier "1st​ Division and 3rd​don't have their full complement of combat cars," He noted, "if we call the reserves it will tie up the lines and slow the transfer of machines."

Yan paused to consider that, and with the preface of the concerning disruption of the capital still warranted being at a state of readiness overall and that those battalions of the 1st​ and 3rd​ Divisions still awaiting their allotments should be kept at home. The conflict, if it did turn into a repeat of the attempted restoration would be different because of the increased numbers. The difference though was that they held Zhengzhou properly. There was no, had been no attempt to contest their control of the city, or its rail line. The regulars stationed at their garrison in the city were in place, and unassaulted... this was not the manchu restoration where they had had to scramble... but it was also much earlier in the year, and that boded ill potentially. "If cautionary words will not be heeded,"

"Then the troops will be mobilized for war." Waite agreed. "Allen?"

"Will you be heading back to Taiyuan?"

"Yes," Yan replied, "I will prepare the Guard division, and insure we have our patrols increased and that we are at readiness."

Waite nodded, "I've the brigade here, and Dawes will bring up 1st​ and 2nd ​Brigades."

That would leave him with the mobilized portion of the 1st​ division, and the 5th​ and 6th​ Brigades and the generals commanding them. That was the problem with their war planning, and expectations... they had talked about months earlier that Sun was acting squirrely, and the likelihood the southern doctor was going to act a fool.

Yet the war plan remained the same having been uncorrected or unaltered. 5th​ and 6th​brigades were intended to support the Szechwanese front by supporting3rd​ and 8th​ divisions. Those divisions would remain on the border, and the hunanese were supposed to be watched...instead they were looking at pivoting towards Zhili and Honan... and they still weren't clear exactly what in the hell was going on between the Fengtien and Zhili in all of this.

A few hours later he was making the final adjustments to the table of orders.

Percy had wasted no time in searching him out, but this was not the manchu restoration for all comparisons that might have been drawn to it. The crisis in and around the capital was a hot mess, there was no denying that, but things were very differentthan they had been a few years earlier.

"Xian operates on three lines," He told the englishman who had grandly stated he was an observer as if this were a war from before the guns of august had opened. He hoped Percy had just been making light of the situation or that it was just Percy talking. Allen did not like the possibility that Percy's observer status might hold official endorsement from King George's government and this might well be Curzon looking at the provinces in the west as separate from the beiyang authorities, "The regular army, the reserves, and the National Guard." Xian maintained a national guard bureau with each of the provinces maintaining their own guard units for emergencies that could be federalized much as with home.

"Yes, like the states."

The model yes, now that they were acting on this scale, but also because of the promulgation of the provincial constitutions which had established executive and legislature formally in 1920... the judicial bench was proving harder to establish but they would get there. "The regular army has its active units,"

"Those men of the first line,"

True. In the old system there had been two lines, the army and its reserves. "1st​ is presently being reinforced, by brigades, they'll watch the flanks, and pin the enemy in place." It was not 1917, he had vastly more officers to distribute the weight to, men to bear the load of operational weight, "I've read Iseburo's report, and we've substantiated it."

"The numbers?"

"Yeah," Allen replied, "Zhang, and Wu," Fengtien and Zhili more broadly, since it was not just their personal commands involved, it was more than that, "Have been recruiting."

"I understand your man Powell has been hiring laborers to migrate to the Americas, and there is talk of an Africa railway." Percy remarked. "I imagine the lucky ones will get on the ships... Zhang has a lot of modern artillery, John Allen... its going to be bad. You'll be going to the front then?"

An Englishman's talent for understatement Allen mused, then replied with the short answer, "With 1st​." He replied.

"I've instructions to serve as observer," Percy, nor the Legation in Tietsin ever formally stated exactly to whom in Beijing they had informed that they were sending observers... though it wouldn't been out of character for the British Legation to have informed both sides of the fractured Beiyang that they were doing so. In April 1922 as the crisis erupted into serious fighting no one thought to ask, nor was it really that important, only that it was a return to the oddities as they would be thought of by future generations of the long 19th century. "if I can be of use I'll be along with you then."

 

[Imperator Pax]

April 1922
The rain was holding off, but it was relatively crisp this morning being in the low fifties and breezy. The army was used to digging though. Field entrenchments were emphasized, and had been emphasized even before the Europeans had gone to war. Allen's attention was on the opposite side of the river... farther south, far further than he could see and really it was the map of china he was visualizing.

This was a mess... for reasons not related to field conditions. It was the political realm not so much the physical one where the problem lay. The cadre had been hoping that in the fall the beiyang wings would all consent to holding elections and electing new members to the national assembly... and here they were half way through April and the Zhili clique was shooting at the Manchurian wing of the government.

His field headquarters was dominated by information carried by papers and telegrams that were in some cases months old. The circulars that Zhang had issued denouncing Wu, and Cao Kun were just one stack. Then there had been Wu denouncing the background chatter of the Chinese portion of the mission to Washington. The movements of the southern doctor. Tan Yankai, and Zhang Xun's movements were both being watched. The latter had met with Duan in Tietsin back in March, though they hadn't considered that terribly important at the time... not with Tankai's movements in Hunan which had largely had its beiyang aligned troops pulled out.

"Japan has no intention of moving one way or another."


Which was a small god damned mercy, and it was meant as an optimistic statement "Yes." He replied to Percy's statement. The brigadier commanding 6th​ Brigade and his chief of staff appeared behind the Englishman. Both men saluted crisply, "Hunanese report?" He asked thinking of Tan Yankai, and what his clique must have been up to given the much more active fracas down south and along the coast that likely had him much busier... or at least a different sort of busy

"The southern rebels are not doing well," The little bird replied quite smug at his statement. "I would be very surprised if they progress much further..." The brigaider general had been promoted up from 2nd​ Battalion of 1st​ Division, and his Chief of Staff had been also at Zhengzhou in 1917.

Hunan didn't have great roads to begin with, it never had, but there was a reputation among the people for a martial character, such that the Hunan militias had bragged about it to the British during the taiping rebellion, "What do we know about the present fighting colonel?"

"Current traffic suggests in addition to cantonese encouragement for Hunan's local commanders to resist the guomindang," There was no secret amongst the men that Sun had been brought up to be fond of the Taiping... there was plenty of American literature who'd fancied the southern rebel cause then, and lambasted British assistance to the Manchu as interfering in the natural course of history... but it was provincial ism at play. The men were quick to tar the southerners as rebs, and the papers decried the southern provinces as a haven of banditry in nearly every issue, "that the 1st​ naval squadron has also failed to come to the doctor's aid. If current chatter is accurate then the squadron may actually turn against them."

"Really?" Well that was interesting news, it would bear looking into. "Anything else on the naval front?" Allen questioned; the second naval squadron was further north... not that that would meaningfully effect Xian. Even if their river boats could get up the river, and get to here...there was unlikely any threat to their defensive position. The reinforcing of the defenses here meant they could prevent the aged boats from forcing further inland.

All of this had started with complaints about Liang's government, which had fallen in January, but the problems had all been more than this. All those stacks of telegrams in his field headquarters were built on grievances that had been building up. It was why he continued to watch the south. It was why3rd​ and 8th​ Divisions under Lee and Shang were kept in their existing deployments as 2nd​ and 4th​divisions were mobilized.

"Current intercepts suggest they also intend to remain uninvolved."

That was reassuring... mostly because this was a whole mess as it was. "They supported Wu in Hupeh last year," When the squadron had sallied up the river to fight in Hupei, which had lead to more comparisons of the Taping rebellion, even if it hadn't been nearly as bloody. The colonel took the invitation to expound, well prepared to review the conditions of the previous summer campaigning and the various connections officers of note held across the beiyang ranks and what had resulted in Duan Qirui's ousting from power.

"Zhang has criticized Wu for being too close to the Legation in tiestin," It was a wonder the Englishman hadn't said 'our legation' just now but Percy had had a point... Zhang [Tsolin] had called Wu a lot of things though the likes of puppet, doll, toy soldier were probably the harshest things he'd said in a circular that had reached public consumption. "Which is of course poppy cock, I should say." He added. "I really think its about money."

That was itself quite likely... though Allen also wouldn't have been surprised if Cao Kun wasn't in talks with the British about the loans. The financial situation wasn't amazing, and the former premier and the Communications clique had been fighting until Liang had replaced Jin as premier. Liang, of the communications clique, had been denounced shortly after that had happened... but rather curiously ... well the truth was Wu seemed to have elicited some personal spite from Zhang Tso-lin that made this conflict within the Beiyang seem ... seem petty save that both sides had massed a hundred thousand soldiers.

For all the complaints of the need for fiscal responsibility this would waste vast sums of money in the fighting between Fengtien and Zhili, and it would also reduce revenues as the fighting scared the peasantry, and townsfolk.

"In the interest of levity Mr Graves Zhang is much closer to the legation than Wu is," The lieutenant colonel observed, "That does not of course preclude this from being a matter of money,"

Percy before the war probably wouldn't have appreciated the glib comment, but the little bird had been with he assaulting force in 1917 then just a lieutenant, "Yes, that is true... and the Legation has other concerns."

"Alston, not about this I take it?"

"No, we would very much like this to be calm. There is a conference in Italy... it started about the same time all of this mess began," Not really, not by how John Allen would have reckoned counting this starting, but troops had been emplacing on the 10th​, the same day as the conference of Genoa had officially opened. "The Germans and Soviets formed a treaty of mutual recognition."

Allen bit down the expletive, but he would have sorely liked to curse. "I must imagine the Frogs aren't happy?"

"No," Apparently the new leadership of the French had already been grating on the Foreign Office , their government had likewise been upset right before the conference had opened and undergone a change in leadership, which had caught the brits off guard... and from the sound of it though he didn't mention it as such Lloyd George had gone and pulled a Wilson by deciding to handle the conference himself with inadequate support.
--
Notes: And of course its this kind of intervention which is what serious starts depleting Zhang's treasury, Zhang's insistence on expeditionary and often ill thought haying off ambitions disrupts his otherwise exemplary economy. Manchuria was doing very well under his governance but not so well as to support him being able to excercise power unilaterally. The end result of this becomes mass inflation because of reckless expenditures over the next several years.

 

[Imperator Pax]

April 1922
Wu's formal recognition of hostilities had come very late, weeks late, and with little indication of a serious attempt to dissuade the situation by political means... and thus it had confirmed that it was to be resolved by military force. That lack of denunciation though had not prevented him from positioning his troopers across Zhili province, and predicting deployment of Fengtien forces... and of course facing the reality that since Duan had been deposed there had been a sizable manchurian contingent in the capital environs. By the logic of the Huai army writings of the Taiping, that should have conveyed to Fengtien sufficient advantage as the 'host' of the battle for contesting the capital... but the Huai army of the 1860s had never had to fight a modern army engagement and Peking was very hard to defend without making preparations to resist.

Those weeks however had given the Foreign Office, and the Legation presence time to respond. It had also been weeks where Japan's legation had been slow to say anything, and then refuse to take sides in the crisis... Alston as his britainic majesty's minister plenipotentiary had recommended them to remain aloof from this scuffling. They'd already been hoping to do just that, and Wu's formal circular establishing his recognition of a state of hostilities didn't change that. They were going to remain at an elevated alert status. What Alston had not stated was Percy's official status. Allen watching one of the combat cars making its way through the street was unsure what Percy meant to gain by being here. "German gun?" He asked.

"Originally," He replied, the mechanics of the self loading system not his area of study, but it had invited some tizzy of mechanical deluge from the red legs, "From before the war," He continued, but it hadn't been ready, and not at market before then. The Combat Cars would carry a variety of armament such that the intention was a driver, a gunner and 11 dismounts. That was feasible for stand up fighters like the 1st​,and 3rd​ but the talk of mechanizing Infantry Divisions ...it wasn't feasible for them. 'The Leg' Infantry were to follow on and hold positions that Rifle and he supposed 'mechanized' infantry would punch through on, "The german cartridge it fired was anemic for our purposes so the Swiss Cadre insisted the cartridge be lengthened and shell weight increased, it was a lesson we learned after the visit to Russia."

"Ah." was all the Englishman remarked. Then after a moment, as Allen silently contemplated the map of northern china on his table, paying the armored vehicle no more mind as it rounded the bend, and staring at the suburb of tietsin where Zhang had established his own headquarters spoke up again, "does it meet satisfaction then?"

"It kills folks pretty well." He replied bluntly. "Yes its satisfactory for that Percy, we wouldn't have approved mounting it on the cars and issuing them to 1st ​if it didn't." Graves took the moment to acknowledge that, and how the experimental technical section worked in the evaluation of equipment. "The shell is about five inches, its not quite double the muzzle velocity of Becker's gun running American powder," He continued. "We're not entirely confident that its enough high explosive," At least with the current HE composition load, "to bust a pillbox, but its something."

"All due respect John Allen, bandits don't generally lay concrete and wire."

"The bolsheviks are bandits," He replied tersely, "Small bandits might not have concrete but bigger ones will do what they can." Alston in Tietsin with the Legation had continued to speak of the need of vigilance, for which he was supported by Churchill back in England with regards to Lenin. The Cadre didn't need reminding of that, they knew that. They knew that very well, and Percy's reminders on Alston's behest were rather annoying in their would be schoolteacher tone. He paused to take a pull from the dark coffee on the desk, and continued to eye Junliangcheng to the northeast on the map. It was where Zhang had established his headquarters of Fengtien, which put him in easy distance, a comfortable walking distance to speak to the legations as he liked.

"With his gendarmes he could have placed himself in Peking proper." Percy remarked.

Zhang could have certainly. His actual movement of troops had begun after Sun had begun moving into Hunan...and it was possible Zhang had expected Sun to either have more success or that that was meant to draw off Wu's troops further to Hunan. The Communications clique had lampooned Wu's suppression efforts in Hunan as wasteful of money that the national treasury simply could not afford the brief government of Liang had when it had come in cut funding to Wu's expedition in the province. "Sun started marching soon after Liang's government collapsed." Liang had been succeeded by bringing Yen... which seemed to suit the State department fine, but Liang's dismissal again had been something to set Zhang off as a personal slight, "He got off the line in early February."

"More than enough time for you to mobilize." Percy replied unnecessarily because that was self-evident... the fighting in Hunan had forced him to cut short both the consolatory funeral responsibilities and talks with Iseburo over the soviet problem to the North west. For that, Allen could say he resented Sun's expedition regardless of how much real threat it posed to the southern frontier.

Which was of course how things had started. Sun's march into Hunan required a readiness, and a statement. The cadre's official statement, written by a newly minted lieutenant general of the corp of engineers had outlined to the public, Xian's public, through the newspapers why the mobilization was occurring and what was going on. Yan had published a concurrent statement for his own province but the crux was that such an uprising would disrupt harmony. It didn't matter if Sun's march succeeded or if this was to be another failed rebellion it would make a mess of things.

The other matter was for the army active or reserve components alike how procedural the call up had become. Percy was correct that having been able to start issuing orders back in February had meant that by the point in which Wu and Zhang had moved their troops around the cadre had had the time to ready 1st​, 2nd​, and order 3rd​ and 8th​ Divisions to hold fast.

"You're going to authorize an expansion of the army."

It wasn't a question, so Allen didn't immediately respond to it, "Not as such," He replied, officially there were 7 provincial constitutions. Shansi, Shensi, and Western Zhili and then the western commanderies ... plus Tibet. "We were going to expand anyway. Expansion of the Guard," A brigade for Tibet, a brigade for Western Zhili, "the problem is this kind of common cause making caught everyone off guard."

"Yes," Percy paused, "From what we have been able to put together, it goes something like this, Sun is supposed to become president." That made sense, "Liang is supposed to come back in as Prime Minister,"

"I can understand that much, and the others."

"Duan would return as Dujun of Zhili, and from what I am to understand the provinces of Jiangxi, Jiangsu and Anhui would pass to the care of Zhang Xun. I am to assume that other provinces would be doled out to other Anhui generals who were supposed to be involved."

What obviously those men hadn't counted on was the squadrons at Shanghai and Canton deciding to support Wu and make a nuisance of themselves to the attempts to move troops north. "And?"

"And you're going to authorize the expansion of the army. You did it in response to the Manchu uprising, and now there are the bloody bolsheviks on the border as well."

"Why is that a problem for you Percy?"

"its not. Bloody hell John Allen, but you think that crack at the King's Honors was a joke, and even if it was drink caused to spill from the lips of men. Its what people, good people think. You were Yuan Shikai's friend, but people at home," He meant Londoners and the British of good breeding, from the right schools, and so forth, "See the problematic things about it all. The East India men were given leave, were asked to collect taxes by the Mughals. They were a company, and the old Empire is gone spare, Yuan is dead, the Qing went away before that and you can pretend that your private army is part of the country, but there is so much German there that they'd rather you're Prussia in the orient than admit you look like an east India man who has no need to answer to parliament."

From what he understood they'd never amounted to enough for Wilson to care, and Harding didn't seem to actively care because they weren't asking him for anything. The British concern was therefore... well annoying he supposed because they cared and the President of the United States did not care what they did. "Should I expect a problem from Curzon?"

"Personally, of course not Lord Curzon has no personal enmity with any of you... Even if you hadn't been there when the King was shot, you went to Russia, and have friends for it, including the personage of the King..."

"But?" He asked. "I assume it has something to do with your ham-fisted analogy." Especially since he'd never had a monopoly, and he was half tempted the likes of Forbes had never enjoyed a monopoly in the China trade in the US... Wilson had wanted free trade with China... well free trade with everyone Harding... Harding was too scared of the world beyond the shores, and wanted to do with things... which was no way to live, "I've made the decision to live here Percy, as has the majority of the cadre certainly all the ones that remain today. You can make your comparisons to the East India company but parliament granted me no monopoly, and I wouldn't have accepted one." The protest though was for other reasons, drawing the line in the sand to layout he didn't like the comparison... and the Cadre didn't like the comparison. Curzon could claim he didn't have any personal enmity, but the he talked about, and shit he went around doing as Foreign Secretary did tend to get the blood up all the same offense intended or not.

 

[Imperator Pax]

May 1922
The notes of hostilities would keep the officers of the General Staff very busy. Not so much of the novelty but such that Fengtien military advisers had clearly updated the Manchuria doctrine with lessons learned from the European war... to a degree. Zhang had expended shells on impressive hours long bombardments, likely only stopped by shell shortages.

This had been mirrored by Wu as well...and had Wu been an artillery officer (or Zhang for that matter) then the artillery would have been better served. Most of the shelling had been reported as ineffective, poorly directed, though extremely lethal to infantry with the misfortune to be caught out in the open. It was no surprise that from there, that the bulk of the casualties stemmed. Still it could have certainly been worse, something he had commented on to Percy.

The deployment of so many men had entailed pulling second and reserve line forces, and commanders not prepared for high intensity action. Allen knew what the claimed paper strength of troops was being stated to be. Zhang no doubt had a slight numerical advantage in ratio... but it was early may now in Zhili and with the crowds on the railroads moving supplies would be easy to bog down and loose track. Desertion was likely to be the biggest issue, indeed that would prove itself once the conflict turned.

He'd already taken more than one telegram warning about how that needed to be addressed, how it posed a threat to public security. He would pass that to Cullen. Posted here as he was to Zhengzhou in the event of the opening of hostilities either with the southern doctor or a conflict with less likely the honanese gentry required his focus... and yet, he still could not help but think of matters which were also within his official remit. The cadre did not particularly care for either the weimar democracy or the French. The idea of the Weimar lot making common cause whatever the reasoning with the Bolsheviks under Lenin was infuriating but that was half a world away... and he, and the MAK under Powell and the other smaller cadre bodies involved more strictly in international trade wanted things Germany had.

Faced as they were with problems here there were more immediate concerns though, "Its a modern sort of war,"

That was true, and he responded to Percy's comment bluntly, "Yes." It was that, and Percy did seem still a bit surprised about it.

"The observers say Zhang's troopsare not as well disciplined as their Zhili counterparts."

He recalled the zouave drills that Beiyang sixth brigade had conducted in the summer of 1917, "Wu has always been quite severe on the parade deck," He replied tiredly reaching for the steel mug on his campaign desk, "From the sound of it they were quick to turn this into an artillery duel." The problem was that by rail it was an hour to Peking from Tietsin even with a slow train. "Less experienced troops, troops who didn't know to dig in probably caught the artillery early." And that was probably enough, it was a reminder at least that going forward there would be enemies with much better artillery than lesser bandits had access to. "The Truth is Percy, in ten years China has doubled the number of nominal divisions in operation. Perhaps more so depending on how many divisions the south claims to have this week, but there were thirty odd divisions when Yuan Shikai died." Never mind the wide ranging numbers of brigades across the old empire, and of course the free floating battalions which had no organized higher organizational element out in the provinces.

In 1917 Duan had leveraged fifty thousand men... Fengtien, and Zhili had been busy since both sides numbered more than double that in the same theater area... that was to say the troops that both could put up in the vicinity of the capital. So yeah, everyone had more troops now, but large swathes of those were freshly raised green formations...and in a country that didn't have an effective system of conscription and readiness nor an ability to inspire the ranks for a national cause... and those green troops just didn't have a durable morale to stand and take losses... and the truth was the observers on the front said that the artillery actions were a mix of old and new.

Percy took a pull from his mug of black coffee, that previously had rested on the corner of the map, "There are some missionaries talking to Wu,"

Allen perked slightly, "Oh?" He asked, that was news, but not terribly surprising. He supposed that the more things changed the more they stayed the same, but on the other hand it might well be something that Zhang would latch on to, "What do they have to say?"

"Just that they think that Wu should make peace with Zhang. They're urging an end to hostilities, both to Wu but also to the Legation. That we should be trying to find a resolution to this." With almost a quarter of a million men in the field between Zhili, and Fengtien never mind the population of Zhili and Peking ... the population of civilians Chinese and foreign alike.

It might well have been nothing, but the conference in Washington had been a prominent background event in the lead up to this debacle. Not so much for China's interest in a Navy, but for that made a useful talking point for both sides, indeed the conference had attracted internationally much attention from all brand of tittering sorts.

Ships were to be decommissioned, and legally at least there was to be a parity between the Royal Navy and US Navy. Not that Allen could ever see congress seeing the reason to spend up to that tonnage, it was the opposite for the Brits they would spend up to that tonnage... and for good reason, there had been shocks to the British during the war. Their position on the treaty limits were also the more sensible if Congress could see sense they would have recognized that for the US, and in the interest of the economy it made more sense to build up to the treaty limits or at least closer to it in order to gradually let off steam from the war economy not just throw cold water on a hot engine.

None of that was a problem for China, not even Japan being confirmed third of world navies. Japan had also agreed to revert Shantung back in February ,but that had not stopped subsequent telegrams for lampooning the legation sent to Washington for the treaty and to represent China's interests... but that was always easy for the faction out of power to do in a democracy. To complain about something that they had no hand in, regardless of the objective.


It was however not the cause of this fracas, in fact it had probably been a minor contribution to it at best, because Wu and Zhang neither were navy men. It was true that Wu had employed China's navy recently, and again in the present fighting possibly in the south the chinese navy had no business given the present state of finances to be contemplating buying battleships or trying build yards that might build them. Money though was the spark that had lit the tender, because Liang had wanted to negotiate, for what had then gotten him accused of treason.

Allen made noise of acknowledgement in the back of his throat finally.

"You shouldn't be out in the front, frankly none of you should."

"Why, the King, and his wizard had no issue of us going over the border to save his cousin," He pointed out, "Black Jack had to be kept in the rear by presidential order I'll allow, but in the Philippines, and in grandfather's day nothing of our command," save perhaps the technology employed, "Is unusual."

"Most generals do not carry rifles John Allen," Allen would not point out his rifle while at hand, was on a rack with the others and his job was at the field table, or reading telegrams. "even allowing those ones who fought in Africa it is just not done in this day and age... and its not an emergency. Not really." The Englishman declared, "Neither Zhang, nor Wu have looked towards the west," A pause, "towards your lot."

"And it isn't them to which we're concerned of having to resort to our guns." Despite that both Zhili, and Fengtien both were Beiyang wings, but then so had the Anhui for all that had prevented a fight between.

"Dr Sun,but even your own staff officers say he can't make it this far."

A chatter he did not like, Allen disliked when officers became insistent that the enemy couldn't do something because the math was against them. "Fools get lucky all the time, and don't like listening to the odds," And soldiering was a profession where luck was important to have, "And I don't want the boys shocked if Sun does get lucky." He changed the subject, "Will Wu make peace with Zhang?"

Percy paused ,and nodded in catching the corollary, "If he does that would I think stop the southern doctor in Hunan." Or would if Sun were smart, but more likely the hunanese resisting the 'northern expedition' would throw Sun back. "As to talks, I should hope so, and I think from the talk Wu is amenable to peace." The real question would be the terms, and what both sides could agree to agree about. "This whole thing started about money you know."

"It was the spark at least. Liang was insistent that the fighting in Hunan was unbearable expense," Something that Wu might have been able to tolerate being said if Cao had had time to smooth ruffled feathers, as during Duan's premiership he had made the same argument to the then Beiyang chief... but Liang had also made other comments which had not made the communications clique man very popular. "I can't imagine this is any better."

It wasn't the truth was it was worse. Wu's use of field artillery ... it was hard for Allen to describe 3rd ​division's guns as heavy, but they were relative to what the Jade Marshal had available had been brought on to a brigade about five thousand strong. The Fengtian had included cavalry and the force had been well equipped with new rifles. It hadn't been some backwoods militia...

And the artillery hadn't cared. That bit of butchery had problem been contributory to Zhang's bad luck in this affair. That he'd lost good well equipped troops because they hadn't been expecting the artillery... which Allen admitted was odd given Zhang's great and known fascination for all the modern contrivances of war.

 

[Imperator Pax]

May 1922
The newspapers had been delivered with a full spread of pictures. There was a lot of talk about what things would be like a few months and largely ignoring the fighting in the east around the capital.

In 1920 they had already started the process of land resettlement. Homesteads. The military budget increases and other 'standards' as they were called in euphemism for the annual expenses. Part of it was to insure that Xian didn't grow too large to be unmanageable. The same with other cities were in place as well, but with more than two million people Xian was a 'proper metropolis' akin to other great cities Percy would admit, that included the strasse and czech town with their cafes that evoked parts of the old Hapsburg grandeur. It gave unto the capital, provincial or otherwise depending on the speaker, an international character.

It just reminded him of the disintegrating central authority. Percy's comments of late had been doing that a lot, and the truth was that as May dragged on it was a reminder that Xian's authority grew stronger with the war that had come to Tietsin and to the outskirts of the capital. Percy was busy on the cable and the telephone with the Legation. Much as Seymour must have felt there was a palpable notion of decline to the government of Peking, and Allen wondered if it actually mattered if Wu or Zhang carried the day. Both men had grand ideas, but he wasn't certain either had the resources or the support of other men to make good on them... and truthfully he suspect both men if given the rope would hang themselves trying to do exactly as Duan had done in taking expeditions south.

"Zhang made common cause with the doctor," Percy pointed out, then pushing on, going far as to observe that after Yuan Shikai's death the last remnants of central control by the government had withered away. The ties on provincial military authority weren't even worth calling threads.

For all the good throwing in with the doctor seemed to be doing Zhang, "And Sun is being hammered upon by the Hunanese," He replied. Jun was likewise doubtful that Zhang was anything more than an ally of convenience to Sun... or perhaps worsewas that the common cause being made was because factions at Zhang's court had pressured him to do so, which the dujun brindled at. They didn't have proof of that, but it wouldn't have surprised them. "The fighting in Hunan can't keep up."

"You're saying that?"

"For the same reasons the previous marches into that province have failed," He replied, Sun, like Duan… or really Wu and Duan and Yuan all going back the past nearly a decade hadn't prepared for a lengthy campaign. There was no knockout blow to deliver, and every campaign mounted 'atomized' provincial leadership further, pushing down to county officials and gentry desperate to hold on to what they had built... and most of those men had had family who'd lost much when the taipings had rebelled so Hunan had a long history of being in the fray. "Those rail lines are vulnerable to men who have the experience to know that, and from north or south," It was the only way to effectively, "to bring in shells and cartridges." Xian's southern frontier with Szechwan was an array of blockhouses and fortified positions. The merchants who had done their business to support Kansu's independent brigades as they roved over the border had built more solid shoppes and larger permanent towns expanded as those brigades were demobilized in place of permanent formations which rotated regularly through. That was another change. Those towns on his southern border paid taxes to Xian's revenue service, "There also isn't much of a tax base down there, with bandits, and the armies having to requisition what they need." He took care not to call it a no man's land for Percy's sensibilities. "Hunan may not be Szechwan, Percy but its a mess of a country all the same."

"Cao Kun has always been opposed to those southern marches."

"Yes he has," Allen replied, and that had along with the financial pressure of Liang insisting that the treasury just couldn't bear the burden of the expedition had encouraged Wu to bring his troops back north and home... "Its expensive keeping troops in the province, and Sun has no military experience," His failed rebellions had never involved him in a military leadership role despite all attempts to heap military ranks on the doctor it still didn't make him a general. "this expedition of his is an amateur venture that will fail for any number of reasons." But most likely given the reports of ambushes it would be because Sun couldn't sustain the losses and would have to retire back south or have his entire force melt away and desert. A problem which had beleaguered the much more disciplined beiyang troops season after season from Yuan Shikai's time, through Duan, and Wu's most recent venture south. "But that he has no support among the local authorities," and no way to legtimize himself among the provincials was arguably the most damning Allen suspected... the greatest benefit in those early days in moroland had been the support of local chiefs, and of course the friendship between the pashas and the united states and that as a result the caliph of islam had written urging muslim support for the mission of the United States. Whatever affection the pashas had felt for the United States, Allen had to suspect it was just as much dislike for Spain that had impacted that support.

"You're not going to move then?"

Percy had attended morning drill. The men on their morning run, which as expected Allen and his own staff had joined in, as the Englishman had sat aside for. The run wasn't anything arduous, up the hill, down the hill across a path that wasgreen and treed carefully tended. Percy had been a bit more discomforted by the pistol and rifle practice of the men that had followed but the battalion from 1st​ had to keep ready. "No, the situation is tense," And the province south of them, south of Zhili and Zhengzhou was taut as a spring.

Honan's gentry had always complained, had been a concern five years earlier when Zhang Xun had raised the banner of manchu restoration in the capital... and it was perhaps only the numbers that both Beiyang wings had brought against one another that kept Honan's gentry quiet. "The paper," Percy remarked is talking about railway work." The inter urbans were necessary, but you needed regular roads as well. Heavy freight was best moved long distances by rail or by canal, "And about concerns from the rains."

"Get on with it Percy."

He'd been expecting it. "I was just going to say that your man Powell has mentioned canal work."

"Not for here he hasn't, and if so just for flood control." The ARC talk was a headache but the Cadre discussion had been very very clear in its conclusion that was apolitical can of worms they didn't want to entangle themselves up in. Railway expansion was one thing, but the canal project in the east of the country too much of that was beyond their borders. It was that geographic reality which had cemented the determination. "Powell may speak of another canal in middle America if he likes, and he may expand upon port works in middle America, and may talk of Africa as well, but that talk will be tempered by reality."

It was not twenty years ago. The French would inevitably bluster on but Harding's talk of things was less the present issue than the coming apart of the seams of the Beiyang...and even without that. "You just don't want to invest in Honan do you?"

"No, I expect if we tried without there being a solid figure there, we'd end up with a fight." The honanese gentry would resist an attempt to expand resist the idea of control... and would probably start shooting even without that kind of overreach... never mind if they did actually try and tell them what to do. They couldn't afford that. Honan was not their problem, and they had enough on their plate with the chaos in Szechwan.

Percy gave an exaggerated sigh. "There are questions about Africa now to," Allen had not really concerned himself with the Dark Continent, he remembered the Chicago expo of course that had shown him the first Chinese Opera, but that wasn'tthe same... and it had been to West Point not long after... and studies, and then Asia. It had been Asia which had come to dominate his life, Powell had almost left the cadre after Chafnee's death and now represented the much broader international model of the cadre's collective.

"The company is talking about it," He wasn't about to tell Percy that half of the reason he had voted affirmative to the plans was that he viewed war in Europe inevitable. There was going to be another war, maybe not an explosive outbreak as August of 1914, but another one would come... Versailles was nothing more than breathing space. "There is a lot of planning. We're going to be very busy going into 1925. Powell is talking to Morgan, and Ford's tire guy the outline he put together looks good." Even though with him here with the troops he hadn't had the time to focus on it. "China's population is still recovering from the wars of the previous century, our cities no longer are bound to farming season," Even though an astute person would easily recognize that putting the elections where they were was a due consideration of the farmer's time. "We have a lot to do Percy, and there is business in Africa to be done."

"You think the tariffs are a problem."

"I think they're stupid, and so do most the rest. France is a mercantilist country," They were backwards and uppity to use someone else's words, France was a gold-plated turd, "Their finances are abysmal, and I don't consider it prudent to extend them any considerations. Not after the way they've shown their ass."

"They are a great power John Allen."

"Only because England thinks so, and because you loan them money to keep their lights on." Percy protested that Morgan was doing the same, "Misplaced affection," As the elder Forrest had put it, "I've read the transcripts of France talking about its navy, a navy that France can neither afford nor build efficiently." He headed off the the question that opened, "We can do neither, and nor do I expect a government in Peking stable enough to expand ports anytime soon. Any, canal work we do will be to exercise control over the season inundations. We will clean up, and dredge the channels, but for the moment we are not talking about anymore than that."

"And in 1925? For the latter half of this decade?"

Well that was going to be complicated, Powell seemed to be intent on trying to push a boulder up the hill by talking about Free Trade. He had friends in the wider English-speaking world, in the dominions, but seemed to be running into the problem where Lloyd George's government was being recriminated about for having too many businessmen and not enough gentlemen.

--
Notes: So one of things that makes its appearance in the post war years (and you also see this after ww2) are recriminations on both sides of the pond. There are still francophiles in positions of power and in the ascendancy in places in both England, and in the US (indeed when we get to WW2, Eisenhower plays an even greater role in policy than Pershing does in terms of shaping support for France in US national policies) but there are a lot of recriminations against England and the US in French press, and a lot recriminations against France in the english speaking world after 1919, and especially in the 20s and early thirties and the cadre is not immune to that.

This will be relevant when Patton, and also MacArthur show up later on. In addition to Stillwell, and Pershing and Wood among others. [George the Fifth, and Lenin both die earlier of their respective injuries in this work than they did in history]

 

[Imperator Pax]

May 1922
The conflict on the coast, the shooting part, had ebbed a bit. In the south things were still a bit spicy but largely out of the Shanghai public's eye... but drills and readiness continued. Maybe the hot part of this was done, maybe it wasn't.

To skim the papers from home was all he really he had time for. He was glad they came. This was not like the Philippines where news from home was scant, and the papers were a comfort to the men... or at least a reprieve from boredom. Still active duty, even if just being border pickets was tedious more often than not and it kept him from other duties that were building up waiting for him back in Xian. Allen folded the paper and put it aside. The telegram from the legation told him less than from Percy, and he was keen to let the Englishman carry along, "I don't know if you should really be that concerned."

"Your man doesn't want von Lettow for his the business side of things, he wants him back in Africa." Percy remarked. The German General had been a point of contact for handling import and export of goods for the Cadre in Germany... part of an effort to rebuild trade relations destroyed by the war's outbreak, and then the resolution of the war.

"Or he wants to expand trade into Liberia."

"He wants to bring the Ashkari," which were the Black German Soldiers, "and rather truthfully the whole bloody colonial troop is what he wants to do."

"Liberia is a small country, and did a lot of business with Germany before the war," He observed placidly, "And I would remark that while Powell does mean to have the man put field gray back on, that the Cadre does want to invest money in Liberia."

"There are talks of a concession."

"Percy, I will be blunt. I think Versailles was a damned disgrace, and while I will put most the blame for that on the French, and for Wilson lacking a proper constitution," being a weakling when the times got hard, much as he'd shown when he'd bent to the party apparatus in 1913 early in his time as President, "I recognize that rubber is a very valuable commodity, and one that Liberia is more tempting to be involved income the future. "If you're complaining to me because this puts us at odds with British interests to development of the country I'd recommend your side put up the money to start development of a rail line, because Powell is ready to put a thousand miles of rail down on schedule." That the Schedule was for the fiscal year of 24 was not something he was going to come out and say unless he needed to. "Now the canal thing... that's another matter."

It was about that time the sharp rap on the door interrupted, for which he was actually quite grateful. "Sir." The report came in and he took it and the lieutenant colonel who had delivered it swiftly back.

"The mobilization report."

It wasn't a question. He nodded.

Xian's reserves and national guard component was a hundred thousand men in the ranks. 2nd​ and 4th​ Divisions were more active, but Fifth less so than those two. Three more divisions representing a nominal forty five thousand more men. Then twenty five thousand more across the support and logistical brigades.

In theory, in the business of numbers the reserves were comparable in size to either Zhili and Fengtiens commitment to the fighting in and around Peking. The active component of the army was another five divisions supported by brigades of their own. Such a number he would have considered ... he wasn't sure he could have fathomed such a force being feasible never mind economical a decade earlier... but that was what the European war had entailed. What the expansion of demand and prices driven to what would have before the war been mad prices. "the army has expanded."

"And will expand more, John Allen. I'm not blind, and as annoyed as you might be by the comparisons to Prussia you can talk about Free Trade and need to avoid customs duties all you like, but what it sounds like is the German Bund, the abolishing or prohibiting of taxes across provincial lines." The British were leery of such talk. The men back in London some of them anyway... but others men like Churchill was looking at Kirghiz as way to keep Lenin hemmed in. It wasn't that the British liked the idea of interior barriers they didn't... it was the internal armies that some members of the Foreign Service were expressing problems with. "But lets be honest, you have a khaki electorate... those when they go to vote in November will say the army has to be bigger. That's what they'll vote for."

There was no single center of authority in Szechwan to their south, and as a result every petty county headman made to charge a tax for passing through. Szechwan's myriad bandit kings readily involved themselves with Shanghai's green gang. That presented another problem. "You want to say whatever your point is?"

"If you eliminate the trade barriers between provinces, that will be well received, but it bears in mind that even if people like it, someone is going to make those cracks about you being quite prussian... because the only other example they can make is the comparison that they don't want to make. Before the mutiny the Company had the most readers and writers in Persian of anywhere." Allen assumed that was discounting the Persian court, and the Mughals obviously, but it didn't matter, "I don't imagine you'll have a problem with a mutiny... I think the men in London's clubs admit that all of you will live out your lives here. You'll never go back and take your money and buy country homes, and you'll never sit in parliament... and that I think is what scares them more. You'll never be nabobs, because your fathers, and grand fathers were soldiers... and you all of you were those gray jackets too well. So its so much easier for them to say your Prussian and not a loose company, certainly not now... when its not longer just collecting taxes for Peking to squander, and lets b e honest they are squandering the money that the customs service collects mostly."

 

[Imperator Pax]

May 1922
Percy had told them there would be peace talks between Fengtien and Zhili, but the solidified front had given him enough peace of mind to turn his focus to the work that lay ahead. Every time there were 'war scares' like this civilian affairs went on the back burner. It was still early in the campaign season so something could still go wrong. Not the least of which was that Hunan sat where it did south of Zhili, and in May a new dujun had been appointed. "Wu managed a double envelopment, by means of that old mongol standby of a feigned retreat." Dawes remarked, "A lot of that was the ground,"

The result was that on the 5th ​of May the 23rd​ Division had put into Tietsin, which had probably secured the legation's decision to support Wu tentatively as the victor in the contest of arms. Dawes was right a lot of the fighting had been determined by the ground around the fighting. The combat hadn't been as atrocious in bloodshed as that of the fighting in Europe, but artillery had laid waste the better part of two divisions, Wu was sitting on forty thousand odd prisoners in the vicinity of the capital... and and then there were were the wounded to count on both sides. "They'll exchange prisoners... the ones that don't switch sides." Cole remarked with a hint of disgust from where he was sitting by the window, "They'll have to hash things out, but Zhang will probably withdraw north of the wall, and grumble about it.

It was at that point the conversation turned away from the north and towards Hunan. Hunan's gentry, and how favorably the new Dujun might be received.

Cullen had been thumbing through the fanciful recounting put to print of the adventures in Russia with amusement. With May upon them there was far less concern than there had been a month earlier, and thus time for such distractions. The rescue of the romanoffs was a popular subject, and prone to absurd inflations and hyperbole, but no amount of directing attention to the official war diary made the English reading public less engrossed by the brave struggle against red bandits intent on murdering King George's cousin or the tsar's helpless family

The novel had benefitted its author, probably an officer from 3rd​ Allen suspected with the timing of its publication. It had been published and had arrived at stands just before the King's honors the previous year... and when ole' George the Fifth had been shot the public had been in an outrage. It was just one of several novels which largely all chronicled the adventure, and part of a still broader genre of 'eastern adventure novels' that had cropped... for rather since George had been shot, and in concern for the King's health there had been a great deal of review of England's own involvement in Russia after the revolution.

Not enough introspection that Allen expected real action, "Perce got blindsided like the rest of the brits did he?" Cole asked.

"Sounds like it," He replied to the question, Rapallo was actually what he was here about, the talk of Genoa had been far less of interest to the cadre... that was not to say that the Cadre had had no interest in its proceedings but here they had had initially far less interest for it had seemed like to be nothing more than the French showing their asses to the world. Then of course as if to prove that pronouncement the French government had been replaced by an even more stupid one. Powell certainly that thought was the case in his cables. "And Stockman is already talking about his surgery," And for that matter the study of diseases, epidemiology. "And then there is Powell."

"Percy?" Cullen questioned, already knowing the answer.

"Yeah, but I've seen the British proposal," From the British Liberian Development Corporation, "And its not realistic for what they have. My bigger concern is he's busy all over, and this talk of canals and harbor dredging risks overplaying his hand,"

"Liberia isn't very big," he clicked his tongue quietly, "bout the same size as Honduras." Cullen observed referring not to geographic size but population. "And its not just about rubber, I figure he's looking to develop iron ore as well, but if he can get rubber trees to grow like he says they can...it'll be a boom. If he's got the state departments blessing then...well that will help."

It would. Liberia was a small country, and maybe Powell did have the means to do it, but there was still the question of money in all this. "Percy thinks that Powell has some absurd idea of depeopling what was German East Africa and having an exodus of people move into Liberia."

"Cattle ranches," Bill acknowledged, "From what he's written Liberia could support it, and he's talking about bringing the German black soldiers to settle in, he thinks it'll convince the both sides of it." It was the sort of thing that the Brits would never contemplate... "And Powell has the money to swing it cause of the war," and because the Germans had lost. Liberia also made a tempting measure not only did rubber have the potential to be a big boom but also that coffee was a going to be in demand, as would other crops, "Liberia is hard up for money, got whacked for their trade with the Germans, and didn't have great finances before... Phineas," Bill's navy lawyer brother, "does figure that State would rather the trust pushes the money into the country than risk the Brits trying to come in... but he's not sure how far State really wants things to go."

"Is there a problem in Middle America?"

"No the state desk down that way is whole hearted in their support," There was a pause, and some ruffling of papers moving around them en gathered around the table, and then some grumbling. "He's covering some of it with Morgan but from what I understand from Phineas there is concession talk. I think state wants the Liberians to be bailed out."

That in the end was the thing. That was something any of them could have done. Pierpont Morgan, or even Firestone had that kind of money as a result of the loans and business done during the war and their own dealings normally. Liberia, or most of the countries of Africa, or South America spent money like water... and the finaces of some of the other countries of Asia were shaky themselves... then of course there was Europe. The break up of the old empires, and the reknitting of the quilt of the world, the new borders, made for a mess. The marketing campaign to push adoption in Europe was to answer both a short term economic gap but in the longer term make preparations for a future conflict. "The Serbs have what 26 rifles in service?"

"Across half a dozen cartridges, Romania is only slightly better. The Czechs have friends stateside and got the likes of Skoda, which benefits us from a licensing standpoint." That the czechs had decided against their own in house rifle design, meant there was a chance there, it was a pity that their magazine fed design wasn't likely to win either, "The Serbs on the other hand are starting to get worried about their other neighbor," He meant Italy. Revisionists in the country had been giving speeches for at least two years about driving the serbs back, and the racial inferiority of slavs, and all that such. It sounded like a lot of hot air, but they weren't having to hear it directly," That's part of the reason we're getting where we are. The three of them have agreed in principle to 8mm Mauser, if we get no where else there is setting up ammunition manufacturing and selling some rifles."
--
Notes: Through the end of the year this will likely be updated twice a week. This will make things much easier on me, and then we will go back to standard Saturday updates in the new year

 

[Imperator Pax]

June 1922
Allen didn't presume to distinguish how England's peace time list was supposed to work. He did understand that the war had required vast numbers of men to be called to the colors, and he hoped never to be put in a position where conscription should arise. That being said Percy in his khaki was a sight that bordered on the absurd, particularly with the old workhorse webley along.

It couldn't be helped though.

Sentries from first stood with fixed sword bayonets, looking sharp... both the men and the blades from where they were posted, but Zhengzhou was safe. Zhengzhou had been growing rapidly in the last years of the Qing, and that had continued under Yuan Shikai, under Duan, and it had remained as part of Zhili because the Beiyang consensus from 1913 on as the cadre had continued to invest money into the city.

With 1st​ division present, and at strength the populace was relaxed, and their comfort seemed to be supported as news filtered in of peace talks brokered by the British. Percy was outranked by a number of men some years his junior including a number of men who had been young at the time of the 1917July action.

Yet those same officers still participated made time to participate in the physical readiness of the men, and to make every effort to uphold the professional officer standards, and the technical aspects of the profession they belonged to. With morning drills completed fully half of Allen's staff both those of his peace time officers and the men from the 1st​and the brigade supporting his base of operations were enjoined in study groups that included table top war gaming of scenarios. Something that could be done because the rail hub was safe.

Zhengzhou was the largest cadre city in Western Zhili, more than a million people and had outgrown the still critically important city of Shijiazhuang to the north... where a division sat its eyes focused on Baoding and its military apparatus. The threats though were what they were. The possibility had Zhang Xun managed to rally people to Zhang Tsolin's attempt and the other Zhang had reached Baoding forced them into the conflict, but it hadn't played out that way.

Allen lifted the black tea and drank, before looking at the report. Without active shooting to be done men had paper work and study to be done. It was to keep the men busy, officer and enlisted alike. The Regimental Scout Snipers had been expected to shoot matches for qualification, and Allen had half a mind that even deployed as they were the 1st​ Regiment should carry those qualifications out. Admittedly most of those men had found their normal gray jackets preferable to potential fighting in Zhengzhou to their issued mottled green camouflage jackets which had been issued on the presumption of deploying to fight in Szechwan and among trees not from city streets. Gray worked quite well for night fighting, actually better than black, and the men found that the reduced muzzle flash of the issued rifles with the Maxim derived 'silencer' made them quite effective at evading detection despite using relatively short rifles firing even full power service rounds.

Allen looked up, it wasn't a conversation he really wanted to have with Percy around. For all the British liked to speak of their riflemen and their mad minute, their officers got awful damn squeamish when the realities of the American experience of the Philippines came up and the lessons learned. Allen's current chief of staff was a full bird colonel more than a dozen years Percy's junior. "I can have something arranged for the men sir." He replied looking at the report. The comment was innocuous enough and barely stirred Percy from his own reading,. The RSS qualification for 1st​ included a patch of a sword piercing a wolf's jaws, the same patch was sown on the Colonel's day uniform sleeve, even though technically his tenure with the Scouts had predated the formal adoption of it. The Colonel's rain proof 'field jacket' was also slung over the back of his chair such that the patch was visible for anyone looking at the sleeve.

There had been disagreements over a number of things for rules and regulations, particularly over the best way to organize that. Typically, in following with precedence in the states the regiment carried a numbered sewn patch to the uniform on the sleeve. There had been arguments that that should be abandoned except for dress uniforms and thus not present in the field at all. For the time being soldiers of first regiment as with other regiments carried their Regiment and Battalion on their sleeve, and in the case of specialist formations distinct unit patches, or branch insignia.

The red leg, blood stripe, was like with other branch service colors had been done away with except in dress uniforms long ago... though it did still lead to some confusion with other Beiyang units for the different colors used by other services in the neighbors.

Percy idled over, "The legation thinks there is an agreement, that they can get Zhang and Wu will stop throwing their men at each other. That we've found the spot on the map to freeze the lines of control... you know..."

"That's what the wires tell me," He replied, his stack of telegrams every morning was substantial and covered more than just the Legation in Tietsin.

"I don't think Zhang ... I don't think Zhang came into this war expecting a real fight."

That was possible, Allen was willing to admit. Zhang had been dismissive for years of Wu's abilities as a soldier despite his long tenure in the Beiyang army. He'd underestimated the resistance... that seemed pretty self evident here. It was a mistake that they endeavored to not make. "I assume that he must have said something to garner that."

"From the back channels, the coalition he was apart of was supposed to prevent hostilities... sort of like how Duan's coalition prevented a protracted conflict in 1917."

... a part of him could understand how that thinking might have come together, "Zhang Xun was a part of that coalition. And Sun as well."

"Yes... and even though the Germans have been beaten I think that gave Alston some pause about what he should cable to London." There had been accusations during the Manchu Restoration that Zhang had been pro German, some of the Royalist party was pro German, and Sun had opposed initially the declaration of war against Germany. Of course for as much as the Foreign Service complained, Allen did feel that part of the problem was they read too much into how much of the late Qing law code at least those parts that had been aimed at modernizing, and the army had borrowed from Prussian sources. "I think it stopped Alston from moving."

"Maybe," Allen replied, "Japan didn't seem to know what to think." But a part of him wondered if that was because they had lost too many senior experts of state ... the old man's death came to mind this had been getting underway not long before they'd buried Yamagata. Had that frozen them? Or had it just meant there were now too many arguing cliques in foreign policy. "Harding seems to have thought it needed to play out, that interfering with the natural order isn't advisable."

"That was the American position for the Taiping rebellion as well, that supporting the Qing was a mistake." That history should have been allowed to run its course.

 

[Imperator Pax]

June 1922
Half the focus of mobilization, in the way it had been carried out were reports of telephone, telegraph lines, of roads, and of course, of the status of the railway and its rolling stock and engines. Half the focus because of what that capability allowed.

Allen fully expected that details of communication and carrying capacity in timely manner would dominate discussions from staff officers as they looked towards the border with the hated Bolsheviks along the western frontier. How quickly had they been able to order men into action, how quickly had they been able to preposition stocks of shells to go out in support of artillery, what had they learned that they could improve on. It would also reach the lower house, who had to look forward to running for elections in the fall.

Much vitriol had been expended upon domestic coverage of news of Rapallo. The news from the North China Herald and many other papers had carried the opinion to other more regional papers, and broadsheets. What only some of those broadsheets saw fit to speak of however were the conditions for moving forward...what the organizing summit had been aimed at. But Xian's papers were quick, in the war fevered public consciousness to speak that such normalization would only push the Bolshevik bandits towards further aggression over the borders that were de facto since the collapse of the previous order.

The papers were quick to remind Xian's reading public that elections were to be in November. Those people were less concerned with the politics or the motives of Curzon...that fell to the Cadre to remain on guard for. "Given the precedent with Persia," Which was its own fucking mess, but Waite withheld the obvious, "Curzon can't likely move whatever his intentions, he doesn't have the money for it in the treasury, or the treasury won't provide him the money for it."

Still on the matter of trade 'officially', and for about another month, the Ottoman Empire remained at war with the British Empire... and that stymied trade...which disappointed many of the broader fraternity who hoped to move quickly in an aim of presenting so many countries using the M1917 pattern rifle, as just one option, that it might seem the only option. It was the licensing and the cost of the unit which was the real goal. The czechs had inherited a lot from the Austrians so they would be liscencing there but it was also about setting a precedent that if they could secure trade with the emerging governments and business communities then there would be a framework to work from and cement it.

"Li is back as president."

That had gone into effect the 11th​, and he'd been a compromise choice, "A figurehead at best." Waite replied snappishly to Carter's statement, "That's no way to run a government," He mumbled rubbing his forehead no doubt to fruitlessly oppose the tension headache he'd been fighting all morning, "Cao is talking about wanting to be president."

More than the question of elections though was the matter of how this effected the broader whole of the country... Xian's voting public would not rally to support reunifying the country until the outbreak of the second sino japanese war more than a decade into the future. The newspapers had dissuaded most of the reading ranks that there was anything worth fighting over in terms of going south, which was ironically the same position Cao Kun had advocated against Duan Qirui years earlier.

Wu as principal field commander of the Zhili clique's forces had bloodied Zhang's nose good... in particularly compelling the defection of a Fengtien division. Wu though regardless of those successes had not been in a position to accept anything other than a mediated peace, and in part that had to under the familiar mediation of the British.

That wasn't unusual.. in fact it was almost institutional at this point... but the bigger issue to the cadre was the conspiracy for which had put the three maritime provinces of Manchuria against the Zhili wing of the clique... and their ineffectual coconspirators. Zhang had looked towards bringing common cause with the south, and with Zhang Xun, and Duan Qirui...which was an odd odd mix, and there was little reason to doubt why it had failed.

"What is the mess down south shaping out to be?"

From one man further down the table, "I wouldn't be surprised if Sun runs back to Japan with his tail between his legs." There were some nods of agreement from a handful of junior members. "If nothing else we are expecting hostilities in the south to be unaffected by talks between the British... Sun bogged down trying to march north, and now has fighting in his back end and having his supply train get hit like Duan got."

Allen paused, "Composition size of Sun's army?"

"A division," The man replied, "That is, its roughly at strength for a Qing division. Exact organization is unknown, realistically the 'Northern Expedition Army' is probably several amalgamated units from Yunnan and Cantonese forces." Cullen's tone was skeptical, "rifles are by and large a mix of 88s mixed with Japanese and French supporting guns. They don't have much artillery to speak of." He paused, "what I did find interesting in the cable traffic was Duan throwing his support behind Sun, against Chen, which may be nothing, but it stuck out as a detail there." Another pause, "I don't have a grasp on how much control Sun has there is no actual unified chain of command with the other units, there are many," Was the word Cole settled on, "independent battalions scattered through Canton, and Guanxi" And Yunnan has its own clique who while not especially well armed at least have something we might recognize as an organized army.

"I take it there is something else you want to talk about when it comes to the army?" He meant theirs obviously, Waite had a jacket of papers waiting that couldn't be related to the problems in the south, "You want to tell me what that's about."

"We don't have many degree holders. We have some," Waite remarked referring to the old examination system. Those degrees were still respected, but were increasingly superseded in precedence by requiring officers to have four year college degrees without dispensation such as for mustangs. Even men promoted up from the ranks usually pursued education for their advancement but Waite continued, "Of the majority of troops who volunteered to fight fought Bai Lang they couldn't read or write Chinese in what would be thought of as fluent. I allow that that is of the enlisted ranks, and the ones who were literate were by and large ethnically Manchu, or Hui. Indeed most of our enlisted men today who read and write Chinese in classical form are ethnically Hui who I needn't remind you that make up a substantial portion of our ranks." Not a majority, but there was far less social stigma attached with soldiering, "Pretty much all of our officers can read Chinese, and with vernacular writing becoming common that is changing for the enlisted, but our own papers frequently publish in English because of how common it is to read papers."

He nodded, deciding he'd state the obvious, "Its fashionable." Allen pointed out. "It was the same in Joseon, for that matter the Philippines with English replacing Spanish in quick order for most papers."

"Yeah," Waite agreed as despite the States attempting to keep Spanish on, the wind had changed there were still elites that spoke Spanish, but the majority of the populace as postal services and schools took shape increasingly used English and papers began to be sold in the language outpaced Spanish publications, "And I allow that the North China Herald has always been an English paper," both in language and in that it had been founded for the English community of Shanghai...despite the fact that most of Xian didn't even consider Shanghai to be 'northern'. "Our literary traditions are having an effect on the men... and education is having an effect on distinguishing them from our neighbors." He meant the southern provinces... of which Szechwan was the most notable, but also the other neighbors coastal Zhili, Anhui, the Shandong peninsula... and the maritime north as well for that matter all were becoming very distinct.

That reminded him of course of a lesson that Yamagata had mentioned when speaking of the laws of the Bakufu and how one of the early shogun's elder statesmen had seen fit to recognize that 'different traditions of the many separate domains'...and that had been the middle of the 17th​ century.

 

[Imperator Pax]

June 1922
There were pictures on the table, duplicates so that every man here could see them. The artillery were in pristine condition and were in parade paint. Unscuffed. They looked impressive in the black and white.

Zhang's Schneiders that had been delivered had been brought into Manchuria before the fighting had gotten underway. The problem was that the guns themselves had caused some confusion in the papers. The GPF 155 was a French gun but one the US had taken into service.... which was the detail which had likely lead to the confusion and then the uproar of complaints for those looking to support the position on the arms embargo John Jordan had bullied into position.

But of course the fighting was all but over by the time the news had actually gotten back to it, and the facts that the guns were French not American made wouldn't have changed anything. The French legation had agreed with John Jordan's arms embargo and then the French had turned around and sold Zhang the Schneiders. "Frankly I don't think we should be surprised."

There was shuffling, and the start of protests from some... but Waite was right from a historical standpoint, "The Taiping rebellion, the British consuls and the public back home. All this complaining is the same."

"Right." He replied and the ruffling of the other officers fell silent, "Its the same sort of thing... but the difference is we can do what we need."

"Will this effect the air force?" One of the newer men questioned. It was a good question. The Air Force much as with the prospect of the railway, and the school system enamored the public. It was shiny, and new and modern, and not decrepit which was the most important thing because it presented a contrast to the old dynasty and the failures of the contemporary Republic.

"No, surprisingly not." Waite replied, "Aircraft are not covered by the legation's idiocy." Nor tanks apparently, which was hilarious, "Much as with our automotive engineers we're going to need to entertain racing ideas, and while talk of metal hulls is talk, de Havilland has some ideas, the most practical of which is a twin engine monoplane with an enclosed cockpit. We have interim options available to us, but Britain will not interfere with aircraft options, even if we arm them."

Arming aircraft was an obvious future step. It remained true that the primary impediment to metal hulls was production, and weight limitations imposed by limited engine power. They would need more than a decade to where they could overcome that. The exiting theoretical underpinnings were were well established even if practical engineering concerns would hold back realistic production for time.

Besides of course the conception of aircraft in terms of practical utility was not dropping bombs at this stage, but rather when fitted with increasingly powerful radios the ability to relay falling shots from artillery. That was the driving objective of near term aircraft usage. Observation, and reconnaissance... and it was no surprise at all that the air service wanted more... and Allen knew to head that off before that argument started up for the umpteenth time, even if it meant bringing up the budget and the way they structured the budget.

"We will visit the practical capabilities in two years." He told the general, "In two years I expect a report on not just what we can build, but what is going on abroad, talk to Junkers, de Haviliand and outfits in the states." and he hoped that Sikorsky's demonstrator didn't get brought up again... it had been shown to the army and the navy back home, and while the agreement from the Navy's boys was it had potential, "But I am obliged to reiterate that engine production, of sufficiently robust and powerful engines will take years to build up." Further complicated by the mechanization of the existing rifle divisions and their brigades if it came to that. "That is the priority. Engine production."

1st​ and 3rd​ would take priority.

Then 8th​ under Shang, then2nd​ but 2nd's priority was increasingly looking to be a case of training and doctrine and working to expand the reserves of personnel to build up the pool of manpower they were doing. Most fighting men in the army would remain leg infantry even though they were not going to be requiring all recruits to attend the infantry basic training.

That itself had been an argument. Direct recruitment to 1st​ division required completion of the infantry basic school regardless of occupation but that was largely because the First Division expected to act as a firebreak in the event of a disaster. It was what the men spent their time in garrison drilling on, and the expectation of a call up came that there were going to be leadership ready to take charge.

1st​ and 3rd​ both had high fitness standards above the regular army standards. Division standards were being pushed. Being released to other units was the way the majority of transfers went to other units either officially or unofficially since the turnover rate was also used to staff units that were standing up; like the 9th Division. 3rd​Division under Lee had almost a non existent smoking culture, which Shellman had observed seemed to coincide with much better run times about nine minutes to a mile was the division average.

All of such material was being compiled as the summer wore on in anticipation of the Fall conference which would as normal convene the cadre, but also to bring together the lower house's membership. The lower house who would be holding elections come November.

The army though was coming to terms with the reality of fighting. Most fighting took place within three hundred yards, there were exceptions of course. 3rd​Division, and units posted to the Bashan Defensive Cordon along Szechwan routinely had to engage beyond that, and there was shooting down slope, which added further complications.

That was beyond the range of the submachine guns they were testing, but when it came to urban combat and close order battle Griswold's modifications provided the men a great comfort in city fighting. Those lost effectiveness in high brush country, the ridgelines of mountains, or the extended plains of the kansu corridor, Tibet, or the likely terrain of engagement against the Bolsheviks.

So there were competing arguments. The shortening of the rifle's barrel had already begun before even the European war. It had begun even earlier than they had been here. The adoption of the sword bayonet was driven by economics and political considerations, but also in recognition that bandits would foolhardily mount brazen cavalry charges of sabres and ponies. Swords and spears were common with bandits, as were older firearms.

That wasn't so much a shock. None of the cadre, none of the first cadre who had almost all had time in the Philippines had been surprised that hill folk would use weapons other than guns. Improvised weapons of all sorts were a fact of life. "We've been here a decade now."

He needed no reminding of that. The RPF had a brotherhood. Veterans gathered to commemorate that they were the first, the older brothers of the whole army even as Xian's papers celebrated its Air Force as a point of pride. Hui officers and their families held banquets to celebrate the death of Bai Lang just as earlier in the year Xian had celebrated the defense of the city against the White Wolf, and the railway reaching the city.

Such were the traditions that had developed. A tradition that was reflected as they got closer to election season, and that with fall those men would go to the polls. Percy seemed to fret over the khaki ... or field gray electorate going to the polls.

 

[Imperator Pax]

July 1922
They had a few more weeks before they really needed to have things finalized for going into the usual fall conference... and then this year there would be the elections to consider as well as reporting on the summer drill. As it was th Congress were talking about what needed to still be done on their end even as they also used it to complain about Peking. The cadre though dealt places far further than Peking. There were international trade considerations to think about

Powell's report was a grand document that come via courier who had sailed from San Francisco Bay. It spoke of certain 'Scientific Certainties' relying on such claims to buttress the ambition of a man who had largely been abroad and skipping from office to office of the cadre the majority of the last ten years. What he was insisting was that the success of Middle America, and indeed Liberia as if that program were already approved, was to make good on the flight of human capital from Europe, and to encourage immigration from Japan and China as well... though Powell did also touch on the need to appoint executives, secretaries of offices like the executive branch back in the states.

"He's fascinated with a million." Waite remarked one hand holding up pages as he he skimmed, no doubt having read yet another reference to Ford's quip of a million of anything is a great many.

The number applied to everything. Millions of dollars, but also that in order to breach the threshold for a 'certain' economic boon there needed to be a million people metropolis. He sighed the likes of Zhengzhou, and Xian in order to support their industry. A million tons of steel, and coal, and so forth. Powell hoped to entice Americans of course to come abroad to middle America, he also hoped to supersede Argentina as the desired destination for Italians leaving that old country. He wanted Poles, and Germans, and the Baltic folks to come and move to the tropical countries to build farms and erect and work factories.

That included a package to sway the old German colonies to pack up and leave the Brits behind and to come and make new farms of coffee in addition to the rubber growing in Liberia he had in mind. "My understanding is that with state and with Jack," Morgan the younger, "Couple that with Ford and the Tire man, with coffee and so forth," Dawes continued outlining diversification plans, "I think he can swing the numbers for this outline, but he will be on the line for a lot of credit if he can't get this central american project of his under one flag." That would be the chanciest thing. Guatemala and Honduras both tied up a lot of work on the railway work, but that work was on schedule and that expanded industrial farming efforts that was able to still be profitable. "But its got other risks, Powell does want to encourage more people to come over, but we need the states to block France especially." But going for him was that the four countries involved all wanted investment and railways to the point of promising concessions if the work could be done and that made State happy.

"It shouldn't be a problem," In November of 1913, Teddy Roosevelt had smoozed to the Argentine elite that they needed no protection from European predations, that they were capable and had the means by masculine virtue to extend their own monroe doctrine from Buenos Aries which was as Powell couldn't help but observe was a fifth of the country's population. "Especially if you look at the prospectus."

Powell was advocating close ties with all the English speaking countries of course. That was to include England. He hoped to convince the still infant central american republic to speak to other nations in the south of the Americas including argentina of common arms.... but also that the central American republic would need both a navy and merchant marine. The cadre had no experience making naval armor plate without the Naval Treaty and if the war in Europe had still been going on they might have gotten a foot in the door but they didn't, hadn't.

Such were grand dreams Allen was skeptical of. He didn't think Powell had the resources to carry that off at this stage, but the prospect of the wood necessary for making airplanes effectively, well that was a different story. The prospect of large rubber growing and increased mechanization through the deal with Ford all of that had potential... but the majority of the machinery Powell was going to buy was going to come from the United States, that as no secret. Unless they could really make good on the composite construction of the Albatross, and apply that to more airplanes

Cullen's boots scuffed on the floor as he stood up, "What he's failing to state is that most of this started while he was in the states, he was talking to House, and the State Department as well... probably House first before Bryan left and then as Lansing showed more sense ..." Both House, and Lansing had lost influence as the Virginian had become more addled as the end of the war turned into the morass of trying to affirm a peace, "to deal with Latin America. From what I've been able to determine, there was nothing about Africa when he pushed off to Guatemala, that's new."

"What is the news on that front?"

"Honduras was a bit of a given," Cole replied, "El Salvador I get the feeling regardless of how Washington feels they're not quite as keen on it" Cullen's instincts would prove accurate... and of course regardless of how State wanted a unified central american republic there were to be delays, and regional differences... but capital and the railway that it built would bring together three of the four countries. "Now that being said, they don't dislike the other benefits, they're buying guns from our export people including being interested in the German trading house," Out of Bremen, but which serviced Austria, Hungary, the Czechs and so on, "I don't think they'll agree to the extent of what Powell and his friends want for a unified state."

Guatemala, Honduras, and then Nicarguaas the decade welled on... "Honduras?"

"The government there has matched Guatemala's railway concession rights. The RPF is expected to reach divisional strength next year." Cullen answered, "currently there are two brigades, the Honduras based element," He deferred pausing before saying he'd have the report passed along, "Suffice to say Powell has been been recruiting but he's splitting time with Africa..."
"But its working?"

"Yes... a certain yankee is throwing around," The name of, "Ward and," words like "Filibuster a lot." He shrugged, "But Powell should be able to finish the line to 'Tegu on schedule, which will directly link Guatemala city via our tracks... and State will be very happy when that happens." Dynamite was a great thing, Nobel deserved more credit for that than any fool medal, but the Swedes could be a bit queer at times.

"I suppose we should be glad, that Powell has things in hand, and he's close enough the bastard is being attention to his antics," Allen replied to Waite's commentary on the situation. "What does Powell make of the Brit's air police idea?"

"No more positive than what we do," Cullen replied, "You need boots on the ground to exercise any kind of order, the air craft can tell us what they can see, but we have to be there to make calls locally."



--
Notes: General Notation for updates this is going up early we're projecting snow, (not ussually a problem) but also an ice storm so it is very possible I will lose power which will potentially disrupt updates then tomorrow and Saturday will like be eminence in shadow and the litrpg storywhich i'm still working on, and then sunday if I have power I will update Battletech archon monday, etc, and probably last week of the month I'll resume updating Essence of VIltrumite.

 

[Imperator Pax]

July 1922
The technical side of things extended deep into the army's organization as new Regiments were organized...and as they moved from the larger strategic organization of active and reserve. The latter tied inextricably to the greater comfort of the organization in governing provinces. The Regular Army was to supplemented by a Federal Reserve force, but also to support by National Guardsmen who in normal organization were to be a formal provincial militia that could be federalized when they needed to be called up... implementing that would take time on a divisional basis.

It was therefore only natural that Yan wanted to emphasize to his home province the National Guard to which the 4th​ Division was a part of. The 4th​ as an Infantry Division however spent a preponderance of its time on active duty or at least a significantly greater period of time than originally envisioned... but that was the problem with theoretical divisions of labor that technical papers drew up.

… and of course those papers were drawn up in schools of military sciences, office buildings, and in the permanent unit headquarters. Cullen expected to have ninety thousand full time gendarmes, that was to say nominal fighting strength, supported by a much smaller complement of reserves by the end the technocratic plan slated to conclude in 25 but part of that was to be a military college for training military police, intelligence, and civil affairs officers which would be multi-service. The compromise vote held that it would be training personnel from the Regular Army, the Guard, the Reserves, the Air Force, and the Gendarmes.

That had been accepted de rigeuer in the matter of usual votes. Doctrinal arguments given the motorization of troops the sub machine gun was an object of significant interest. As were self loading rifles. Rapidly mobile troops, and the close quarters fighting coupled with the ammunition requirements there were certain facts that were self evident to support the ideas.

"Now Federov's rifle besides the ammunition runs into the problem of the milling time." 6.5 SR as it was shorthand in technical nomenclature tables was already in Iseburo's inventory, and Iseburo's administrative center was much closer to a potential boleshevik swing. It was why he focused more on railway guns and coastal defenses... and it was why he was arguing with the army's air service insisting that any plane aloft needed to be able to direct his artillery, or any artillery. From the sound of it the army air group was bridling but had much bigger concerns than elsewhere. "Griswold is doing a lot of milling of course, but we can do a fair amount of the work on the Assault Phase Rifles with individual lathes," Especially since Lewis's Assault Phase rifle did away with the aluminum void shroud for cooling... the result was popularity with elite formations, with men who favored semi automatic fire over automatic and wanted the accuracy of a closed bolt.

"That's another thing," There was a pause, "The 1914 rifle followed existing trends," though frankly with the number of commercial Mausers they had had with turned down bolt handles though they hadn't at the time been talking about it, the consensus had been that having its turned down was better. "We've had some success licensing out the Service Rifle and Latin America," including south America, "will take what we can sell them from what Powell says... but money does become a problem for purchasing. We can offer replacements to their Maxim and Vickers guns, and we can sell them surplus, but Powell is sure that a fight is coming."

There was a rumbling of discontent at the conclusion of the cavalry man's caveat. There was, had always been concerns about what getting involved further afield might lead them into. The new governor of the Philippines was interested in a hand, but he wanted the Philippines a lot closer in a system to the States back home... which was fair. Wood was older than any of them and interests were well established from his in Cuba so there had been less concern there. "The State Department says there is a lot of work to be done there."

… and there was money to be made there. Allen paused, "The Honduras situation?" He asked aware it couldn't be just that, but Honduras had been the issue which had kept the original cadre on the fence for getting into the grandiose plans of railway development in central America before the expansion of the available capital made by the European War. "He expects there will be a fight,"

"And a boom in sales as a result." The cavalry man replied, and it went without saying that was expected to be good for them. "That's why he wants a bigger share of the ford trucks than planned, he says he plans to use them to hasten roadwork, but they're managing 8 and a half a day. That's not a bad pace at all... but he wants to lay down doubles and he wants to spur off as well. So he needs more machines to do that."

Waite, who accepted that they had gotten off of the initial topic of self loading rifles, and the issue of manpower entered the fray, "This central American republic project," And at the very least if they couldn't have that then a free trade zone and an expanded merchant marine based on snapping up US flagged shipping on the cheap from Uncle Sam. "He thinks that he can weld them all together if only he builds up roads and railways up and down the line, maybe build that big port while he's at it?"

The cavalry man shrugged, "That's what I've heard." He paused, "I don't know if he plans to transfer the fords, sell them what have you... or if they're actually intended for mechanizing," That would be mechanizing Powells much smaller body of manpower.

Part of the deal with Ford had been buying Ford products that had included both complete models being shipped assembled, automobiles that would be shipped to their own factories to be assembled, and spare parts. Powell was asking for are routing of the completed trucks to latin america... but he might end up looking at the latter if the project managed to get far enough along where it could support a local automotive industry. "Has Powell written up, or the MAK," more broadly, though there was no disputing Powell had a great deal more sway than any of the others in the cadre, "Written up an organization table for modernization?"

"Officially no, unofficially the North and South brigades will be reorganized into divisions soon is the word... which tells me that he has something on the triangle model." There was a pause and ruffling of papers, "He's put out a statement for a race blind army, and has attempted to hire demobilized troops from Europe and the states, offering to bring their families in, he's even promised to General Pershing that black troops will be treated the same as their white counterparts if Black Jack will encourage them to exert themselves. My understanding is the existing force is already fully integrated, and that that will be the norm going forward." Other than that Powell for the time being only wanted lighter field guns Three Inchers and 105s specifically to prevent him from having confusion in the supply, "I still think he has his work cut out for him... but we will see how things go over there."

"What are the plans for sending a party to Guatemala?"


There was a shrug, "We can send Carter, unless you want to ship him to England, but its complicated."

Allen acknowledged the point, Powell's project these last couple of years had been the right time. He'd gotten the capital in and then he'd been able to get the state department's blessing. The leadership in United Fruit had been wanting the railways built but just didn't have the resources to commit the project and certainly hadn't had it once the European War had begun... and that had stalled work on anything more than what they had already built. Now though well things were much busier for other reasons and Powell was moving to diversify.

 

[Imperator Pax]

August 1922
Allen folded and put aside the report turning and rotating his wrist and looking at the gray sleeve and chinese sleeve interior visible. The uniform was a second skin, Percy had gone back to a civilian suit just as soon as his duties as 'observer' were over with the implementation of the British brokered peace. Percy had always been persnickety about the uniforms. At the time of the RPF, more than a decade earlier, they'd worn what they had liked, the adoption of uniforms had only happened after they'd been forced to recognize they needed more men... and that they were fighting with machine guns, and Dawes had insisted they buy Krupp guns commercially.

So even though they were 'at peace' as Percy insisted and he had civilian administrative tasks to handle he still wore the uniform of the day. Waite's Chief of Staff had forwarded him a report on the deeding and titling, and then talked about corporate law. That was a problem since officially the republic of China had inherited from the old Dynasty the german style body of corporate laws. Waite wanted that scrapped... and his argument was persuasive... but it would have to Allen felt wait until after the election, which meant waiting till the new class of the lower house was seated.

Waite was sounding impatient about it the last time it had come up in committee, and today was just a point to underscore that.

In hindsight, years down the road it represented a legal wedge that split them further from Peking's nominal authority. Waite had wanted originally, in 1919 and the year following, to just leverage the Assembly Duan had called elections for to be nudged into a vote... but that had of course never happened like that. That represented a break from how Waite had been trying to keep working within the system of the republic, but had now moved to building a legal system specifically to reflect just the provinces under Cadre stewardship, which of course how he justified it... and how it was put in the broadsheets the following January. All in the name of avoiding rocking the boat too much.

The problem was what had happened before that... during the war years. The British Empire had continued to carry goods from China, but the needs of the war in Europe had changed how things had gone forward. Between 1902, when he'd still been in the Philippines, and 1914 after Bai Lang they had become apart of the doubling of capital investment in China. The investment of the Japanese firms in the period had gone to over two hundred million dollars across that period.

In 1914 Allen would have considered 200 million dollars to be a great amount of money. He was reminded of a quip about Ford, but the truth was the European War had changed things... changed things immeasurably in how they looked at things. The war had menat bringing in British purchasing agents, and proofing inspectors and men to sign for goods before they left on trains heading to ports for coolies and longshoremen to load them on to ships or other trains.

In 1913 China had gone to the polls forty million men had gone to the polls to stock the almost six hundred seats of the Chinese congress. The average age of those representatives had been only scarcely older than the average for the Cadre, the average age being under forty years. Bland, writing in Shanghai, had been right though... the optimism of the republic had not been meant to last. Allen drummed his fingers on the report. In November they would go to the polls, every enlisted man would vote...and for that matter probably the majority if not all of them, even workman and factory man and miners too would vote. That turnout wouldbe important. Everyone employed by the cadre... by the corporations they had established made enough to meet the income tax requirement that provided the franchise under the law.

The law of the defunct Qing. The same body of laws that Waite's Chief of Staff had summarized in the report in front of him. Waite came in sharply, without knocking. "Did you read that?" He asked without preamble.

"I did." He replied.

Waite was also in uniform. Gray. He remembered the defense of the city in 1914. "Good. I know most of that is telling you stuff Bert has probably talked your ear off of anyway, we were all here when the question of the salt gabelle came up, and the carving of the cake started up." He meant in 1913, the tax on salt the talk of commission, the issues of Mongolia, Manchuria." The banking commission, when Wilson had been new had had the American banking partners pull out. Wilson hadn't liked bankers, he claimed it was 'about principle'... that should have been a bigger warning about Wilson being a fool than they had realized ... but they enjoyed almost a decade of hindsight now and there had been optimistic talk of free trade at the time as well. "No body saw the war coming, not the war that actually came to Europe. Suddenly having things turn around and instead of selling boots, and woolens and watches and caps, and gloves," He waved his hands on, "To China, China was selling them to Europe for the war. Its why Cullen always carries on about security of goods, and being so leery about shipping things to ports where dock workers will filch things."

"I assume this involves business law." Allen stated indicating the chief of staff's report.

"I intend to ask the lower house to consider drafting corporate laws more in line with that of the United States," And thus to a lesser extent like those England. "it is only a limited reform, but I want to make it easier for smaller shop keepers and firms to get started without us, and also I think it will make things with health and welfare easier as firms get bigger because it'll make it easier to understand."

Allen nodded, though noncommittally. Whatever Waite had in mind would have to be studied, and looked at for the consequences and knock on effects. "Are you expecting opposition to this?"

"Truthfully no, the truth is I fully intend to browbeat the opposition with the numbers of productivity shown during the war." He shrugged tone changing from boastful back to his more steady normal working voice, "They are relatively minor changes," Waite reassured him, "But I want us to have sensible laws, and I would rather a man buy a good local made good than a french shoe trading on prestige." The French did make some good shoes there wasn't a question of that

He raised an eyebrow. The Constitution of the United States could not simply be translated into China and made to address Chinese woes. The same for the Meiji constitution of Japan. They had to start smaller, with local laws and modern municipal and county systems and work up... it was why Allen had borrowed heavily from old man Yamagata's writings, and efforts to reform Japan's localities decades back. "We have no way to set tariffs, to keep out foreign goods." A power the US congress seemed intent on confirming and delegating to the President.

"We don't need to Al, sure we'd get tax money out of it, but those goods have been absent so long encouraging new startups before they can get back in hold, and not have to be shipped from Shanghai isn't that hard." Allen visualized a map... he could visualize what it was the other man meant. There was no direct rail link between the Cadre to Shanghai's bustling port. Never mind any of the major southern commercial ports. Western Zhili had more ready access to imported western goods at market, but the western trunk line stretching all the way through the Gansu corridors and further still thanks to dynamite and hard work were more connected to each other than to Canton. Waite for his part continued on, "We're catching up on Japan, the lower house will appreciate that, but that doesn't mean we can slack. Japan's first major steel works only opened in 1901, those mills of ours they took work, but we're better off now. We have no shortage of coal. We can do this, but we can't slack." There was a pause, "And lets be honest we can't neglect agriculture, and frankly we politically can't afford to neglect the farm lobby. There are enough old school gentry on the fence who have traditional confucian ideas about things."

Waite stopped just short of coming out and saying it, "What are you suggesting we give them?"

"Up front nothing," He replied, "What I suggest is suggest by putting out questions to the men running for the lower office how best to push agriculture forward. We let them talk about tractors, or corn for animal feed, or hell we let them talk about how to expand cattle to address the demand for milk and butter." There were plenty of stock grazers in the west counties to be sure there was going to be a powerful agriculture lobby one day in the congress itself.

There was other concerns vegetables, potatoes, pork too, but personally Allen was somewhat relieved that Waite's reading of the situation was such that they, the upper house, didn't need to push forward something. If Waite were to have suggested that Allen would have gauged the situation to be a much more serious domestic issue. "You think the lower house should be able to handle it?"

"They have to be able to handle it." He replied, "There were certain things for which have to be addressed, and having the lower house come up with solutions. We can demonstrate the system is working that those men can generate solutions as such, and that we are inviting the government to listen to complaints and problems and then to act."
--
Notes One of the things recently came up in discussion in my normal job is the effectiveness in the early 2nd​ Sino Japanese air war of both ground and interceptors and the ineffectiveness of japanese bomber doctrine that resulted in a significant loss of Japanese air frames. Here, that's going to be magnified significantly it will also have other effects locally, because it as a war time example (much like the Russo-Japanese war)highlighted obvious flaws in accepted strategies. In this case the big one being the bomber will always get through, which the Japanese ignored because there was no actual overarching objective to 101 102etc bombing campaigns because Army Navy squabbles and how the war had gotten started in the first place. That will be something to consider long term.

Then of course there is another effect we will see from increased palletization during WW1 that will be followed up on in a future segment that will effect logistics as well though that might be pushed to a date in '23.

 

[Imperator Pax]

August 1922
The 1920 Census had been based off of previous ideas... previous plans which had been delayed by the things conspired to make a mockery the plans of men. It had been something that the cadre had offered to help conduct for Yuan Shikai as dujun of Zhili, and then through him passed up the old dynasty's apparatus to do a national census. Those things had never gotten very far. It would have been beyond their ability in 1910 to do that. Grand as the IBM machines were they would not have been able to facilitate counting all of China. Still as for tabulating and calculating the machines had made it possible to do other things and were a great benefit to business workings.

Yuan Shikai had hoped to undertake a census once his reign as Emperor was secure, and he had b efore that attempt at least talked about doing a census as President of the Republic. It hadn't happened it had remained just talk. The 1920 census had entailed Western Zhili, the Three Western Commanderies, Tibet nominally, and Shensi, and Shansi.

"What are you telling me?" Allen questioned.

Bert shuffled a bit, but George beat him to it, "We've done the math. The 1920 Census estimation suggest that in terms of demographic health... the country has not fully recovered from the losses of the taiping's rebellion."

There was shuffling and JP put voice to the obvious statistical question, "But, we have no way to measur e Hupeh, Hunan, Anhui, Zhejiang, or any of the rest of them who were wrecked."

"I looked at the Qing numbers and tax rolls." George replied his voice a low tone, which was set with a hard enough edge to tell anyone unfamiliar what he thought of those numbers.

"I did as well, and Shellman."Bertie agreed, "Our conservative low figure number," Bert continued looking queasy at the thought, "Is that more than 25 million perished in China's civil war, and that is the agreed upon estimate and its," He trailed off letting the engineer pick up.

"Perhaps double that even." Waite continued. "Beyond that though, its the economic implications that I see effecting us. During the rebellion money poured into Shanghai, as long the Brits were in control and the city was safe wealthy merchants came in, and they paid good money for British traders to carry their goods under foreign flagged steamers." It was there that the committee however began to draw conflicting conclusions, because it was not 1865. The war between chinese states was still ongoing, and looked as if this were to last longer if perhaps not as bloody as the war against the Taiping. "We have factories, we have factories which need employment. We build houses, and expand places to live. There is also another valve for release of the displaced population in that not only do people come north, or as in the most recent case, come west from eastern Zhili and Shantung but they also take steamships under company flag and are going to other projects."

Which included Middle America, as well as the African project. Workers were settling permanently there that was after all what Powell was aiming for, he wanted to open farms for coffee, and ranches for cattle he was aiming to draw Chinese, and Japanese, Italians and Germans and encourage them build up... and anyone fleeing the bolsheviks. And the conclusion from which Waite reached from his study of statistics was that he and Griswold both, along with a handful of other old hands, was that the planning for the operation plan of development for the second five years was going to have to be revised. It had been a full decade since the old dynasty had fallen. In that past decade the cadre had remained a hundred man allotted body, but the company had expanded vastly.

... and as the British grumbled His Majesty's civil servants and even some of the paper men made and drew unfavorable comparisons of a company that had held a british sanctioned monopoly, that had had an Army. Some in the Foreign Service in order to save face were diverting, talking to Curzon and others as an army that just happened to have an attached civil government... but they missed another point. There was especially in just the past few generations ample historical precedent for having one man as military and civil authority over multiple provinces. The governorship of the individual provinces was also changing as well with no longer a separation between the two where by the governor was both civil and military authority during peace time.

There was thus a continuity as a new bureaucracy took shape, and that was at least internally clear to Xian's government if still somewhat opaque to those far away in London town. The fall conference would publish vast volumes, ponderous amounts of information for those who cared to read. Percy's job was easy on that front, he didn't need to read the accepted version of vernacular chinese that was in because they published side by side with English reports. Those reports which would start going out this month, and proceed through the end of the year were emphatic on an idea of a prospering country building a strong army.

In short the repair of water control, expansion of not just the railway system, but the development of a better road system to supplement trade, and the expansion of public education. Electrification was another priority, another matter to point to, and one where the growing populace sheltering from strife elsewhere could crowd around the lights and start to rebuild.

"So I ask again, what are you telling me?"

"The 1930 census is arguably going to be even more important than the first one." Waite declared, "It will substantiate whether or not we were even close to the mark. It will bear out what we will do this decade what we have actually managed to accomplish." They were still playing catchup. To Britain, to the States, and to Japan. "We have got to get out ahead of the Bolsheviks, a war is going to come and we have to build up. Yeah, the got a bloody nose in Europe and their prophecy of revolution to any sensible person clearly fell flat on its face, but that's precisely it... they're lunatics, and mad men and bandits with a zealous conviction." He was shy of pounding the table, "They're a cult, they're thugs with a new age religious bent... and the government back in Washington are idiots for letting Hoover minister to the ills the Bolsheviks themselves create." It was a damning assertion, and one that would linger in Xian's popular conception of the interwar years until the dawn of the cold war where it would have new life breathed into it in popular accounting. "Sooner or later Washington is going to have to pick a side, isolation and neutrality are a fool's course whatever that the protection of the oceans."

... but the war Waite envisioned was not to be the one Dawes imagined. It was not to be the one which would come. Waite assumed that the Bolsheviks would gamble on trying to fight their crusade west again, but without the Tsar's gold bullion to entice trade, with famine rampant, and without access to the far eastern mines they had to turn to less productive sources, and more laborious efforts.

That meant accepting Hoover's charity, for all the bluster that the Bolshevik papers would carry on in spite of. There would be foreign trade, but the Bolsheviks, were not regardless of an agreed upon policy of presenting a unified public face capable of putting up the money to buy everything they needed. Lenin would compromise by his New Economic Policy which would buy time... and then there would be disagreements in the party after his death that would buy more time. The Communist idea would be buoyed, faith in the communist 'experiment' of the soviet union in the west would be inflated both by communist propaganda on progress and banking failures towards the end of the decade... but all that was in the future.

In the waning summer of 1922 the political axes were shifting...

--
Notes: This is not actually the end of the arc, we will continue with August 22 next time, but it does mark t he shift as we go into 23 and the decline in that year that leads to the Beiyang internal conflicts of 1924-25 and Chiang's Northern Expedition and how it effects China. But also of course in looking forward the focus also looks back to past events in the story, and in previous historical events.

Internationally of course there is the continued unrest in Europe, as mentioned back in the June segment obliquely things like Mussolini's agitation in Italy as well as the emergence of the Little Entente of Romania, Serbia, and Czechoslovokia.

 

[Imperator Pax]

August 1922

The rest of the Foreign Policy committee meeting still dealt with the intersection of Russia, and England just other nuances of that mess. Ungern spent time speaking in traditional terms 'grozny this' saintly and paternal that, and adding a slathering of Chingisid propaganda as he spoke of modernizing the Mongolian state in speeches and in what limited numbers of paprs. Replacing the Cyrillic script in favor of the English latin alphabet had at least proven successful in Kirghiz largely because of the lack of competing printing presses …Ungern as a result hadn't been that hard to convince to adapt written mongolian to instead use the latin alphabet as well, but it had probably been the cost of such things that had tipped his opinion on the matter.

It was about cost. Iseburo had helped that as had Kirghiz. They all agreed that reducing the dependence on Moscow based institutions was preferable and everyone in turn agreed to present it to the public as part and parcel to modernizing. Thankfully Japan had domestically it own English language printing papers for which Iseburo had been able to coopt for publishing local 'chapters' in his administrative center on the big lake.

"It is our institutions that are our strength," Waite declared... he wasn't wrong. Waite was out of all of the cadre probably the one most invested in the outreach and social work that created the basis of not just the formal institutions but also the emerging national institutions like the public sector unions. That had been a controversial vote in committee at the time of coming to grips with the need of the war in Europe...an it had been confirmed last year with the lower house approving the bill. That approval had been more about the money and funding, and the recognition of supporting full time employment. Well full employment in the industries of note in order to support increasing efforts to build a modern state... and a modern state that was increasingly divorced from Peking.

Waite was adamant that even if Peking failed to correct its present course they could not circulate the kind of provincial declaration of independence that other provinces and sometimes even counties issued. Unfortunately for Waite's high minded position, that was popular with the electorate who were rightfully rather up with the situation in the capital.

The war in Europe had put of the minds of most the Boxer rebellion, except for those who looked at the war in Europe as a reminder of the necessity of a strong state. At the verdun and the Somme countless men had been thrown away into the exertion of largely pointless bloodletting. China had had its share of blood wars... the Taiping rebellion... remained an article of study... the boxer rebellion was as well... but more than that Yuan Shikai, and Duan Qirui's more recent failings in trying to pacify the south.

Allen cleared his throat, signaling his intention to speak, "Yes, and with the election polls being what they are, we can expect the legislature to push for an expanded army." The scrabble over Peking, and Sun's conspiracy had been allover the papers but it wasn't the only factor. There had been a push before for the expansion as the news of the war on peasant farmers by the Bolsheviks. "Yuan Shikai," following on those started by Li Hongzhang, "set the beiyang army on a set of reforms, but I believe we can see that those efforts with it have fallen apart." Duan had attempted to set up, to build off Yuan's efforts but that had been toset up to provide him a power base outside of the Beiyang, "The army is enfranchised." As were all of the factory workers including the new automotive workers who labored on assembly lines that were mind numbing. "Shang has pushed forward the work of his staff college graduates, and they hold certain positions, which should be recognized."

"Your men want a fight."

Waite's comment was almost an accusation, and Hodges took the bait. "The eighth had been on border duty... they've got a better idea than your brigade, on whats going on in Szechwan." He hissed face tight in snarl, and knuckles white. The raising of a brigade in Tibet can't be ove r looked even if the argument wasn't to adding troops.

"Invading Szechwan would bog us down in an unstainable fight." Waite retorted, "And if the damned reds come over the border what the sam hell do we do then? You think that John Bull," Britain, "Or Washington will actually intervene for Japan over Siberia, Mongolia, we might might hear something from Curzon but I wouldn't hold my breath on that. We're not france, whatever orientalists are in the Foreign Office its not the same as with 1914 and saving Paris."

There were nods. The truth was that Britain was in debt. England could probably pay it, but not in a place to expend more money... not on the sums of a real fight. France was even worse off, they hadn't had the capital before for anything like what passed through London before the war... and London was a distant second to New York which was where the French were dependent now on credit. That was making the papers, and it was making a lot of people hot under the collar for how France was acting, and Allen couldn't blame them. "What do you suggest then?"

"We got to give them another option. To build a rich country, the land has to be safe. Safety means a strong army. We need more ties to our neighbors to buttress the system."

"We have talked about building the railways in the west." To Iran, furthering the lines already in Kirghiz, some of those lines still needed to be doubled up "We've even talked about the lines into Afghanistan, and India." There was nothing impossible about it, it was just a question of will and time, and dynamite. India, and Iran would offer them access to the sea, Kirghiz needed to be able to buy cattle... and horse.... stocks to replace the herd losses from the European War, "But I expect that you mean more than that?"

"Those printing presses we built and shipped in are going to go to good use. The war in Europe savaged the tsarist establishment, probably added a couple million people into the steppe. Mostly people who couldn't read, but illiteracy was a problem everywhere anyway, The cossacks being pushed this far east isn't going to make them amicable to the reds, but hate doesn't put food on the table, and in a generation or two well sometimes people forget. I think," Waite paused, "I think the way the Poles were able to hold on was because of books, because they had an identity that wasn't Peter took a blank sheet of paper and scribbled all over it."

"When do you suggest we do this?"

"Next year," after, "we get through the elections when all the provinces have their legislatures we get all the houses together for a conference and we talk about it with all of them."

--
Notes: Parts of this segment were shaved so its a little shorter than originally entailed, but to reiterate somewhat how Xian's army is structured the default 'unit' for identity is at the regimental level. (in the Qing military apparatus it would have been the battalion equivalent, and that identity does to an extent exist in China during this period with warlord armies, but the Beiyang were specifically built on divisional lines, but also Yuan Shikai was also heavily emulating Prussian traditions).

Divisions are comprised of regiments, Brigades are comprised of Regiments but they're both organized under Xian's emerging Army Corp Structure. Brigades are expected to be able to act independently or as direct supporting elements for divisions, but they're considered distinct from divisions, which generally inherit their Numbered status from the save Regiment of Infantry.[Xian doesn't have artillery, or cavalry divisions at this point. All Artillery Regiments are branch organized for administrative purposes under the service's Corp, the same as the Corp of Engineers and these 'Corp' handle for example the education side of things]

 

[Imperator Pax]

1 September 1922
The year before Lenin had formally requested aid for the famines that were the Reds own damned fault to begin with, and it seemed unlikely, at least for the near future, that the Soviets would ever get back to the agricultural productivity of the Russian Empire. That was a problem... both for the bolsheviks at home and for other folks who had to consider it... and what the repercussions might be as a collection of bandits who seemed to know nothing about farming decided to throw nonsense at a wall and see what stuck, and when it failed just seize the grain at gun point. It was that which had proved the loudest topic. Hodges had worked himself up into rare form over the issue of the institutionalized banditry implemented by the Bolsheviks since they had come to power... and having Harding come into distribute food aid to the starving caused by the unrealistic quotas imposed, never mind shipments in of fresh grain stock... new seeds. Something that wouldn't have been necessary if the peasants in the countryside hadn't been forced to eat their seed stocks or starve.

This wasn't news, and it contributed to the raking over the coals that Xian's papers put the socialists through and as it was the bolsheviks, the peasants and the anarchists were still shooting at each other even as the remaining white centers solidified in the east as they too began to receive grain aid from the United States though in less volume. Those solidified bases of power in the east impacted other changes. Hodges had pointed out that Siberia had managed an average harvest in terms of productivity per acre. It wasn't a great harvest but the rain fall had been 'okay enough' this year that with at least a stable situation hadn't meant a famine.


Hodges didn't necessarily like the situation of the two conglomerated White Russian states. Kirghiz, the central Asian state, and the White Far East, comprising Eastern Siberia provinces and maritime were very different from one another two years on... with different political patrons. At least in the latter they were more comfortable with the situation. Kirghiz was in the British Sphere of Influence and Kurzon wanted to use the White Russians there as a buffer state in between the soviets and India...but to do it on the cheap in order to appease the treasury.

Curzon's 'balancing' both internally to Britain's empire, and his attempt to play the great game left England's position of center shaky. Much closer ... much more chance of it being messy. Allen was reminded of one Roosevelt's quips about gentlemen that he decided not to mention in the meeting , and not to mention in the after either.

"Hodges has been complaining of chest pains," Shellman remarked. "Do you think its a problem?"

Allen frowned at the doctor's question, the truth was Hodges had never quite healed right after the break in 1916. He'd done a better job on the mend than would have been thought of a generation earlier, but it had kept him from the rigors of a frontline command. There were chatter that Hodges resented that he could keep the physical fitness standard that would have allowed him to lead men into the fray. It would have been worse for Hodges if he had tried to go home. "You're the doctor," He replied.

"I think its a problem." The former naval officer replied, "He's working himself to death." An idiom, and a diagnosis that would eventually exist in the books, "Keeps all hours, and is constantly on about there being more to do he won't listen to me though."

For which Hodges was right, there was more to do. There was always going to be more to do. "There is that," He replied before pausing a moment, "Hodges brought up another point. The insurance."

"The more people we pull from the countryside the more people live in cities." Shellman paused, "I think we will find some new equilibrium," He remarked, speculating on where that new balance point might be between farming and rural folks and the people living in the cities especially as machines increased productivity both in factories, and on farms, and probably eventually in shops too, "Regardless of where that is, we will have more old folks and not necessarily ones with family, and there is disability insurance as well. We've borrowed what we can from Bismarck." The fund came out of a payroll tax it was meant for seeing to the elderly, survivors and the disabled for the whole citizenry. If they had been more forward thinking after Bai Lang they might have been able to trial run it with a military pension system first... but the fighting with Bai Lang had been before the bloodletting in Europe had started. They'd missed another chance three years later when the fighting over restoring the Qing had broken out. So facing the reality of that there was going to be a contraction in trade when the demand from the war went through they had started looking for a solution. Hence the 1920 framework... the foundation was stable. "Hodges wants to bolster it with a sovereign wealth fund doesn't he? Take some of the gold the czechs paid us with, invest?"

"Thats right," Allen nodded, "Its a much bigger proposal than the one put forward to support the education system," Which had been something suggested based on lesson from Texas to support primary schools, and the university system. That had itself been something the Cadre had used to support the earlier schools once they started the first a&m colleges, putting in money that came from rail and then coal to the fund, "His argument is redundancies in the system." Which did create a problem "His argument is that the cadre can bypass the lower on this."

"We're not bypassing them,"Shellman replied, "The system was designed that appropriations, tax burdens on the populace at large have to be approved by the lower house. That gold bullion and leveraging on it was designed outside of that, as were other revenue streams as a contingency." There were other constitutional restrictions on spending that effected both the upper and lower houses that included both benchmark on military spending and a restriction on military spending during peace time; whatever that definition was supposed to mean. It had been a narrow thing there, and complicated by there being the single cadre but multiple provincial lower houses... if Xian's house of representatives agreed with a cadre declaration of war then it brought the other provinces in... and that probably wasn't the best solution... "Besides the elections in a couple months and we can make adjustments to the system. No body here disagrees with Hodges's point..."

They all accepted that in the realm of foreign policy that a continuation of the fighting in Europe was going to happen... and it was hardly outside of the realm of possibility that the Bolsheviks would make a gamble on how much skin England had in the game. "Curzon wants Kirghiz as a buffer state to keep the soviets away from the jewel in the crown... we have tohope that Curzon gives the impression that a red push towards there will get the Indian Army moving."

"It'd be a colonial war, that might be easier for Whitehall to stomach than a war against one of the neighbors in Europe." Or that the British public might accept it given that a bolshevik had managed to wing King George. "Kirghiz needs more time... and frankly yeah we're going to do work there but its going to be awkward with what we have here trying to handle foreign policy abroad. Hodges going off today, look John its one thing for trade missions, but Lenin seizing grain makes our own gentry nervous, talk of famine makes everybody nervous."

The result was the people reading the papers were primed to support a fight, since the idea of red bandits coming in and dispossessing them of food was to no one's liking. Allen recognized that Lenin had tried to have people run a factory floor and then shown that didn't work, then shoved in central control often with some of the same bosses and demonstrated he still couldn't match productivity. Those numbers, and that disorder had made the papers too, and it helped further undermine the red's talking points... but that ran into the issue of shaping what went out to the readership of the papers. Different readers took umbrage with different actions undertaken by Lenin's maliciously incompetent collection of thugs but they were still insulated by land differences...

 

[Imperator Pax]

September 1922
His desk was as usual crowded with documents, including those that pertained to the material preparations that could be expected of Central Asia, but they were not what occupied his attention at the moment. Even if there had been shooting conflicts ongoing his work would have required documentation, and records of movement of goods. Shang had sent up a series of papers, hand picked papers, from young Staff Officers which had been about the highlight of his morning. Hodges while here was still nominally the commander of the 8th​ Division since Shang was currently on temporary duty during the course of summer drill. That meant he was handling the up and coming staff officers while most of the cadre, Hodges included who was only here temporarily for the conference, were looking forward to the election campaigns. He suspected Waite had commissioned the placards that had gone up to encourage 'Success'. Cullen's printing presses were even more obviously his handiwork even without taking note of the gendarmes who festooned their bullpens and working spaces with them voluntarily. Cole had the advantage of being able to spend far more time with his most junior men. Mostly because the lowest rank of gendarmes troopers, the privates, were expected to be lawmen. Their patrols took them into the community regularly and without necessarily expectation of direct action.

A part of Allen envied that closeness that Cole could maintain with his most junior men. The cynical part of his thinking recognized that even Cole wouldn't be able to keep it forever that way. The gendarmes were being expanded... not as fast as the regular army, but it was becoming bigger and like all the others Cole could only be in one place at a time. The training of gendarmes for privates entailed more than the Infantry School that had been the norm up until quite recently.

The training was a talking point with the cadre. It had been a longstanding talking point. For the army was a professional institution, one drawn of volunteers. Even though they had not... except very recently discussed a cavalry, there had been red legs, and engineers, and signals men.

But the cadre had so much to do, not all of them could be focused on the profession of arms. The margins for the railway had been fair in 1914. Western Zhili had made enough in freight even that they could stomached a British style subsidized passenger carry... not that Yuan Shikai would have considered that. Not when most of that freight was coal, which then at that point had gone to selling for cooking and heating purposes.

The war in Europe had meant more demand, and had expedited electrification. It had pushed them to expand. Forty plus percent of the cadre held active military commissions in the army, that rose to over seventy men being involved in uniform for the body with the reserves... and there were a couple of seats that in the new year would need to be filled.

... and would certainly be filled by officers, but they would wait for that until after elections of the lower house.

The present quorum though was insistent that now that the war in Europe was over it was time to take advantage of mid western grain, Kansas and Nebraska and the like, to pad what they could as a guard against famine Corn, and wheat could be stored and kept on hand just in case. There were other reports.

The previous year the Food and Drug Administration, theirs not the states back home, had finished standing up and had issued their recommendations for marking and labelling food. That had been a long time coming. It was something of a point of contention. Food hygiene, and slaughtering of stock for meat... well there had been talks, but also there was the public to consider. Local farmers markets were one thing, but well the states had enacted prohibition but their own food and drug administration had more reason to check the labels and standards for alcohol.

Alcohol was legal, but it was going to be taxed. Tobacco as well. Allen expected the latter though to potentially get complaints from Tietsin, or the consul in Shanghai, but it might not. The British ambassador, never mind his American counterpart would very likely side with them, and it was always possible that the consul of the day would be too taken with moralizing to stand complaints over such taxes by tobacco.

It was equally possible the anglo-american tobacco consortium which grew tobacco in China would keep their mouths shut because they wouldn't want to risk it for their own reasons. Those being that, if they started an argument the Cadre could shut them out entirely, the public might boycott them anyway, and that the Cadre could always adjust the rates for the rail that the tobacco company used to ship across the silk road into Kirghiz That was the advantage of holding a transportation monopoly.

There certainly wasn't going to be a fight this close to the elections... not with the Anglo-American legation in Tietsin enthusiastically voicing support for the voting coming. Shurman thought they were doing well enough, and his cables to Harding were favorable in part because he'd done his stint in the Philippines while most of the Cadre had been in uniform. The man might not have known all the men personally during those days, but he seemed to appreciate that they were on the right track.

Even with the support of both ambassadors it was too late, Allen thought for the rest of China to go to the polls and stock the Federal Legislature here... and that was going to b e a problem. Because, frankly their representatives were pushing for it, and were not happy with the chatter in Peking. Cao Kun was trying to build a consensus, talk about the constitution and this and that, but what it was really doing was showing that the constitution wasn't really how things were run.

It was the dickering and attempts to horse trade instead of fighting bandits. It was the shooting different branches of the beiyang kept getting themselves into, and then when they weren't doing that it was the fighting in Honan. These were all things that made his days more complicated than they otherwise might have been.

Cole was a few minutes earlier than he'd been expected, but not unusually so. The steel documents he passed over were a little unusual. "I'm aware that stepping down production from the war time peak has been a talking point." He commented paging through the documents, before reaching another series of war production documents related to quality control, as well as security deposits for the hand over of goods. "But I assume this has something else to do as well."

"We don't have a port. There is no rail line," No direct rail line to the city, "to Shanghai, but we do bring stuff in, from overseas and we always have but that's been a real shake up over the years." He gestured to still other figures in the table. "Bert has long complained that there is a problem where some of the things that get ordered are stolen on the docks, which don't get me wrong everyone has that problem." and they expected to have that problem in Kirghiz

But it had been a big enough concern with regards to shipping goods to the entente, to England and to Russia with the brits as bursar that when they had started loading goods on to skids for shipping they had insisted that the brits were responsible for approving the goods on site and taking possession and handling shipping. It wasn't just concern over theft, they had no boats to carry them over the water, "We'd already been using pallets to move things around the factories," Especially as the arsenals had been manufacturing more guns, but it had made sense for cloth goods as well... cotton textiles had used them in the states before they'd entered the academy. Then it had only been a matter of time before an engine had been attached to a lifting machine for the pallets, "I assume that your suggestion be related."

He produced a draft of a sheet steel box, "It would require cranes, but we can put these on flat bed train cars, they're shut up so you can't easily steal out of him, and they're steel obvious its not impossible for something to get broke inside but it makes it a hell of a lot less likely."

"What are the drawbacks?"

"The lifting, we can't go any bigger than this container for want of infrastructure. If we try and ship this it'd be too big for the apes in the dockyards to move." Hence his comment on requiring cranes, "Powell wants to get into buying surplus vessels from the shipping board," which would allow the MAK to run US flagged ships but otherwise permit preferential carrying and alleviate one of the great problems the cadre had in selling goods abroad. "These containers can be put on a rail car, we'd have to talk to him though about actually using them, but if he's serious about over the seas trade and ports we could secure both ends of our arrangement."

"Do you think he'll bite?"

"If he's serious about this talk in Liberia, even if he's not packing coffee in one of these would bean easy thing. If we had enough of them."

There were economies of scale in steel manufacturing. Due to the European war's demand for steel larger producers had been able to build up immense cost saving measures which coupled with high panicking high prices of 1917 and 1918 especially for Pig Iron but mild steels and other bulk metal products they'd profited handsomely. After the armistice they had had to step down production, but costs actually increased per unit as the market had moved to peace time levels. "I understand that, but production of this will take time."

"Railways first, ships, trucks later." But with Trucks, that was where the deal with Ford cam in.

"If you can get the MAK to go along with it, we can talk about it next year. With working examples Cole, for peace and war applications." The fighting between Fengtien and Zhili had involved lots of shells.
--
Notes: This has been alluded to as forthcoming, we are talking about a precursor to intermodal containers here, because all of the technology for such existed before McClean put it into practice in the early cold war to the point that I really think that part of the resistance was most likely union related for dockworkers, and the infrastructure limitations ofWW1 followed by the great depression before the war.

Its a standard shaped metal box with doors, you just need to build enough of them, and again here, these are smaller than a standard modern shipping container because of those limitations (the idea behind these containers is that they're probably shorter) but again its a standard industrial steel box. Its we know the docks are bad about getting sticky fingers or longshoremen break things because they're drunk on the job (again at work alcoholism pervasive problem).

 

[Imperator Pax]

September1922
The fall conference spent a long time discussing many of the things he had spent the week earlier going over in minutiae with Carter. It was not just military equipment, but also the economy. While people took pride in the army the banking apparatus exerted tidal like effects on people's livelihoods... but for most of today it had been looking forward to the army's standard fighting man... or the infantry at large.

The FN Model 1900 caliber 35 Remington, and its beefed up Griswold version in 8mm Mauser were de facto the principle self loading rifles of the army's select units and ranks issued those. Current tabulations said that there were about twenty two thousand 35 Remington guns in service between the Army, the National Guard, and the Gendarmes plus other security forces. The weapons operated from a long recoil system, and Griswold was expecting full conversion to magazine fed versions was approximately ninety percent complete with most of the guns not in magazine conversion form being in the hands of the Railway Police.

The 1900, and Winchester it competed against in the states had been adopted early by the cadre as personal arms since most of the cadre were aficionados of such new developments. In the years before the war in Europe they had also been looking to buy up weapons in packets in order to outfit the then much smaller force of the company soldiery. That had lead to buying the mondragon rifles for which Mexico had been in arrears and to the work on the Lewis gun. All of which supported the notion of fire and maneuver which had been US doctrine since the war between the states

Mondragon and Lewis both favored a gas piston system which seemed to be the way forward in the longer term for using their full power 200 grain 8mm Mauser. The prohibitive recoil of the long recoil system with the service rifle was most keenly felt by smaller men... which was not as significant of a problem given the Qing height requirements for northern Chinese, but it bore consideration all the same. Length of pull for the rifle was another concern, but part of the reason that for example the Winchester 351 had failed out were issues with standardized magazine though that had only been one issue out of several.

That the 35 caliber gun had already been in limited production and in spare parts before that before the8mm version's initial form had come out was another reason for its numbers. The railway men, the Gendarmes and especially 3rd ​Divisions mechanized troops found the shorter length of the 1900 variant useful. 1St​, 2nd​, and 8th​Division all fielded the 35 Caliber gun in more limited numbers with 2nd​ Regiment being the only unit in the Active Guard unit being issued them and that was only a result of its mechanization though some were issued to its artillery component in place of the1920 Model Service Rifle.

For ten years Griswold had been playing with the design, and was of the opinion that while it was now mature there were limits in what they could do with it moving further. There was simply more that went into the production of rifles that were semi automatic, and Griswold acknowledged that improvements with machine tooling and larger orders would bring prices down.

There was a familiar litany of charts which were based on previous year records that showed what they spent on production of rifles, what development was costing and what they could expect. All of which was going to at least go to the lower house at some point because someone had gotten into their head that semi automatic rifles were presently a feasible option for the army.

They weren't. Not for the whole army. Not with what they cost per unit, and not with the logistical burden it would have imposed to sustain the present army size, never mind an expansion.

"We've got twenty thousand Remingtons." the 1900, and its variants "but the majority of those are with Lee and my boys," Cullen remarked, "And they work well for what we need them to," 35 Remington was back home plenty sufficient for hunting bear or elk at reasonable distances, and that was the impediment of the cartridge. For close in work it was great, but it was a carbine ranged weapon, where as Model 1920 bolt action allowed line infantrymen to fire on targets accurately well in excess of those ranges, even if those ranges were unheard of in street to street fighting. "I don't think they would work as well with 9th​ and 10th​divisions... we could try them with 4th​ division, but my understanding is Yan doesn't want to go that route."

The governor of Shansi nodded, "I believe that a mix of full power rifles, and 45 caliber," he paused, "Submachine guns would be the better option. I am prepared to test and evaluate this, once the Lewis work is further along than it is currently."

Griswold was working on a blowback version... Lewis's original machine pistol had been a piston system scaled down to 45 which did work, but was unnecessarily complex for a pistol caliber weapon. Lewis had recognized that after the armistice and started the work but the lack of interest by Britain or the states had diminished his drive to pursue beyond a few early prototypes.

Lewis's work had merit, though with the 45 caliber weapon there were obvious improvements to be made. "So we are in the agreement that we're not there yet? Griswold?"

"Blowback simplifies things greatly, I admit 3rd's problem with freezing the action up, I'll work on that." He stated, "Yan isn't the only one who is interested in this, Powell, has said given conditions over there," In central America, "That there are concerns about obstructions getting into the action, mud and so forth." There was a sudden wash of chatter about armaments in general... or at least the small arms side of it.

There was no surprise there. The past decade had resulted in avid martial focus on rifle skills. There remained a vocal minority within the Army Staff that every man in uniform should be a rifleman and expected to attend the basic course for infantry. That was the cadre, even Yan Xishan who came from a Japanese Army Doctrine background, admitted impractical given the needs of the Army. They needed specialist support troops, the guidelines for that recognized that training for them needed to reflect less direct combat application.

The Army's Education Bureau, now under the command of a Major General, was responsible for overseeing the certification of schooling records both before the Army, and the course of schools attended during service. Civilians and Soldiers alike seemed to take pride in this arrangement as it awarded certifications, and maintained records of when and how highly men scored on practical and academic exams.

Completion, coinciding with the Fall Festival, of their version of the Wimbledon cup with distinction came with recognition. There were restrictions of course, the thousand yard match was open to all civilians, but in the interest of fairness a more grueling course of work was open only to members past or present of Rifle Divisions who could complete the physical standards of their units... this course accompanied an award of a shoulder rocker for dress uniforms and all but guaranteed that the recipient would be asked to take a teaching cadre position in the next rotation of marksmen courses.

Those successful at the course then naturally wrote reports on the successes or failings of the rifles and other implements of the profession. For Xian's martial reading body those who placed at the national match were also treated to consideration of their writings on the merits of particular techniques. Those men largely operated though with full power rifles, or in the pistols matches that ran alongside the majority with the Army standard service pistol.

This committee within the cadre was expect to attend the national match, and observe. Perhaps almost as importantly was the reception and the public facing of the gathering at the fall festival which made them collectively publicly visible.
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Notes: this is basically a glance into logistics and doctrine for the interwar years... I keep saying at some point I'll actually do a post where it breaks down the Rifle Divisions and possibly their supporting Brigades as Xian to moves to its Army Corp structure but that probably won't happen until the aftermath of the 2nd Zhili Fengtian war and Feng's coup against Cao Kun. That being said Technologically this foreshadows the dvelopment of an Owen type blowback submachine gun in order to not have the actions lock up. It'll just be in 45 caliber not 9mm at this point in time since Xian basically has no major 9x19mm in inventory. [Historically it should be noted that Yan would go on to produce thomspons at Taiyuan and also produced 6.5 Arisaka, as well as a 45 caliber Broomhandle after previous producing an original clone. Here there is no reason for Taiyuan to produce the 6.5 though if it had already been underway the Federov would probably be a better option than the Chauchat that SMB did produce, Vickers are still being produced in 8mm Mauser]